Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Pirates @ Spartans HAMP @ NORF

HAMPTON

PIRATESHAMP

2-4  |  Road

60
FINAL
Fri, Nov 21 • 8:00 PM ET
Joseph G. Echols Hall
View Odds Details →

NORFOLK STATE

SPARTANSNORF

2-3  |  Home

62
AI Model Win Probability
PIRATES
100%
📊
SPARTANS
0%
PIRATES --
SPARTANS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
104.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-18.0
NORFOLK STATE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +18.0 points (Norfolk State)
PiratesHAMP (-3.5) 0 SpartansNORF (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Pirates Cover

3.6%

Spartans Cover

96.4%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around NORF -18.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (NORF)

HAMP By 1-7 points

2.7%

HAMP By 8-14 points

0.5%

NORF By 1-7 points

10.7%

NORF By 8-14 points

21.6%

AI Model Projected Score
43
HAMPTON
61
NORFOLK STATE
Simulated Score
65
HAMPTON
72
NORFOLK STATE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Spartans Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Spartans Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Spartans (+2.5) Win
Proj Spread: -18.0
D
Sim Spartans (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u134.5 Win
Proj Total: 104.0
D
Sim u134.5 Win
Proj Total: 137.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 21, 2025 HAMP @ NORF 60 - 62
Nov 16, 2024 NORF @ HAMP 67 - 58
Nov 13, 2023 HAMP @ NORF 68 - 75
Feb 4, 2023 NORF @ HAMP 83 - 71
Dec 17, 2022 HAMP @ NORF 66 - 78
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5) +13.5% more
Norfolk State: 10.3 vs Hampton: 9.0
Rebounding (L5) +11.0% more
Norfolk State: 41.0 vs Hampton: 37.0
Blocks (L5) +17.6% more
Hampton: 3.6 vs Norfolk State: 3.0
Turnovers (L5) +11.7% more
Hampton: 12.1 vs Norfolk State: 10.7
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
HAMP Score 43.0 60
NORF Score 61.0 62
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 24.6 / 23.2 38.0 / 30.0
Assists 10.3 / 9.0 6.0 / 8.0
Blocks 3.0 / 3.6 1.0 / 2.0
Field Goal % 39.4 / 38.6 44.0 / 42.0
Free Throw % 58.1 / 65.2 50.0 / 53.0
Rebounding 41.0 / 37.0 32.0 / 35.0
Steals 7.1 / 7.0 6.0 / 5.0
Turnovers 10.7 / 12.1 9.0 / 12.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
HAMP
13-19-0 (40.6%)
Margin: -0.8 ATS +/-: -0.5
NORF Advantage
15-17-0 (46.9%)
Margin: 2.6 ATS +/-: -1.0
🎯 ATS (Spread)
HAMP Advantage
16-13-0 (55.2%)
Margin: -0.8 ATS +/-: -0.5
NORF
13-15-0 (46.4%)
Margin: 2.6 ATS +/-: -1.0
⚖️ Over/Under
HAMP
14-15-0
O: 48.3% / U: 51.7% Total +/-: +1.1
NORF
19-9-0
O: 67.9% / U: 32.1% Total +/-: +4.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
NORF
HAMP
NORF
HAMP
ML
67% 20-10
53% 17-15
71% 20-8
75% 24-8
ATS
63% 19-11
50% 16-16
72% 21-8
75% 24-8
TTL
60% 18-12
68% 21-10-1
100% 29-0
100% 32-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
Contextual Game News
Gerry McNamara Vows to Bring Syracuse Basketball Back to Nationa…
espn 1 day ago
Tom Moore Retires from UConn GM Role, Eyes Broadcasting Career
yahoo 2 days, 12 hours ago
Oregon Freshman Jett Washington Embraces Kobe Bryant Legacy Whil…
si 1 week, 1 day ago
Princeton Basketball Standout A'mire Gill Pledges to Miami (Ohio…
yahoo 1 week, 4 days ago
Dan Hurley's UConn Overhaul: How 10 New Faces Fit National Title…
courant 1 week, 5 days ago