SOUTH CAROLINA UPSTATE
SPARTANSUPST
3-4 | Road
64
WEST GEORGIA
WOLVESWGA
4-2 | Home
72
AI Model Win Probability
SPARTANS
0%
WOLVES
100%
SPARTANS
--
WOLVES
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
177.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-5.0
SOUTH CAROLINA UPSTATE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +5.0 points (South Carolina Upstate)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around UPST -5.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (UPST)
UPST By 1-7 points
27.2%
UPST By 8-14 points
23.0%
WGA By 1-7 points
18.6%
WGA By 8-14 points
8.0%
AI Model Projected Score
South Carolina Upstate
91
SOUTH CAROLINA UPSTATE
West Georgia
86
WEST GEORGIA
Simulated Score
South Carolina Upstate
68
SOUTH CAROLINA UPSTATE
West Georgia
72
WEST GEORGIA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Spartans
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Wolves
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Spartans (-2.5)
Loss
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Sim
Wolves (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o154.5
Loss
Proj Total: 177.0
D
Sim
u154.5
Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Nov 21, 2025
UPST @ WGA
64 - 72
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+38.6% more
South Carolina Upstate: 8.9
vs
West Georgia: 5.5
Assists (L5)
+8.7% more
South Carolina Upstate: 14.3
vs
West Georgia: 13.1
Field Goal % (L5)
+3.1%
South Carolina Upstate: 47.3%
vs
West Georgia: 44.3%
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+14.5%
West Georgia: 43.9%
vs
South Carolina Upstate: 29.4%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
UPST Score
91.0
64
WGA Score
86.0
72
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
43.9 / 29.4
33.0 / 25.0
Assists
13.1 / 14.3
12.0 / 14.0
Blocks
5.7 / 5.1
2.0 / 5.0
Field Goal %
44.3 / 47.3
46.0 / 35.0
Free Throw %
71.7 / 67.5
83.0 / 63.0
Rebounding
36.3 / 36.2
48.0 / 36.0
Steals
5.5 / 8.9
8.0 / 6.0
Turnovers
12.1 / 11.2
16.0 / 10.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
UPST
13-19-0
(40.6%)
Margin: 0.6
ATS +/-: -0.6
WGA
Advantage
15-17-0
(46.9%)
Margin: -3.0
ATS +/-: +1.1
🎯 ATS (Spread)
UPST
13-16-0
(44.8%)
Margin: 0.6
ATS +/-: -0.6
WGA
Advantage
21-9-0
(70.0%)
Margin: -3.0
ATS +/-: +1.1
⚖️ Over/Under
UPST
14-15-0
O: 48.3% / U: 51.7%
Total +/-: -3.5
WGA
16-14-0
O: 53.3% / U: 46.7%
Total +/-: +2.2
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
WGA
UPST
WGA
UPST
ML
58%
18-13
61%
19-12
61%
19-12
83%
25-5
ATS
71%
22-9
61%
19-12
61%
19-12
83%
25-5
TTL
55%
17-14
52%
16-15
100%
31-0
100%
30-0
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