CHICAGO
BLACKHAWKSCHI
10-6-4 | Road
3
BUFFALO
SABRESBUF
7-9-4 | Home
9
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Arvid Soderblom
#40 | Goaltender@
GOALTENDER
Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
#1 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arvid Soderblom | None-None | 9.00 | 0.710 | -- |
| Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen | None-None | 3.00 | 0.870 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
9.00
GAA
Ldr 3.00
0.710
Save %
Ldr 0.870
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
BLACKHAWKS
100%
SABRES
0%
BLACKHAWKS
--
SABRES
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
5.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
BUFFALO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Buffalo)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around BUF -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (BUF)
CHI By 1 goal
12.1%
CHI By 2-3 goals
9.3%
BUF By 1 goal
19.7%
BUF By 2-3 goals
29.6%
AI Model Projected Score
Chicago
2
CHICAGO
Buffalo
3
BUFFALO
Simulated Score
Chicago
2
CHICAGO
Buffalo
4
BUFFALO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Sabres
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Sabres
Win
50% Win Prob
B
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Sabres (+1.5)
Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
D
Sim
Sabres (+0)
Win
Proj Goals: -2.0
B
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u6.5
Loss
Proj Total: 5.0
D
Sim
u6.5
Win
Proj Total: 6.0
B
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Oct 3, 2026
CHI @ BUF
3 - 4
Apr 13, 2026
BUF @ CHI
5 - 1
Nov 21, 2025
CHI @ BUF
3 - 9
Dec 27, 2024
CHI @ BUF
2 - 6
Oct 19, 2024
BUF @ CHI
4 - 2
Key Model Drivers
Blocked Shots (L5)
+77.5% more
Buffalo: 19.0
vs
Chicago: 10.7
Hits (L5)
+14.2% more
Buffalo: 16.8
vs
Chicago: 14.7
Shots on Goal (L5)
+8.6% more
Buffalo: 26.9
vs
Chicago: 24.8
Power Play % (L5)
+19.0%
Chicago: 33.0%
vs
Buffalo: 14.0%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
CHI Score
2.0
3
BUF Score
3.0
9
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
19.0 / 10.7
14.0 / 17.0
Faceoff %
43.3 / 45.3
59.3 / 40.7
Hits
16.8 / 14.7
19.0 / 13.0
Power Play %
14.0 / 33.0
50.0 / 50.0
Shots on Goal
26.9 / 24.8
31.0 / 23.0
Takeaways
5.4 / 5.4
8.0 / 4.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
BUF
CHI
BUF
CHI
ML
75%
3-1
80%
4-1
50%
2-2
60%
3-2
ATS
50%
2-2
80%
4-1
75%
3-1
80%
4-1
TTL
50%
2-2
25%
1-3-1
50%
2-2
75%
3-1-1
Contextual Game News
Islanders Shuffle Defense Pairings in Wake of Romanov's ACL Tear
Gavin McKenna Nets First NHL Goal and Assist in Maple Leafs' Ove…
Blackhawks Celebrate Kane's Return with First Win of Season
Northern Michigan vs. No. 3 Michigan State: Season Opener Previe…
Blackhawks Edge Blues 4-2 in Kane's Emotional Chicago Homecoming