HOLY CROSS
CRUSADERSHC
1-4 | Road
66
SACRED HEART
PIONEERSSHU
1-3 | Home
79
AI Model Win Probability
CRUSADERS
0%
PIONEERS
100%
CRUSADERS
--
PIONEERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
131.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-27.0
HOLY CROSS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +27.0 points (Holy Cross)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around HC -27.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (HC)
HC By 1-7 points
2.2%
HC By 8-14 points
8.0%
SHU By 1-7 points
0.3%
SHU By 8-14 points
0.0%
AI Model Projected Score
Holy Cross
79
HOLY CROSS
Sacred Heart
52
SACRED HEART
Simulated Score
Holy Cross
68
HOLY CROSS
Sacred Heart
72
SACRED HEART
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Crusaders
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Pioneers
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Crusaders (-0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -27.0
D
Sim
Pioneers (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 131.0
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Nov 21, 2025
HC @ SHU
66 - 79
Nov 15, 2024
HC @ SHU
82 - 75
Nov 14, 2023
SHU @ HC
84 - 77
Dec 22, 2022
HC @ SHU
62 - 66
Key Model Drivers
Field Goal % (L5)
+2.2%
Holy Cross: 41.8%
vs
Sacred Heart: 39.6%
Blocks (L5)
+78.0% more
Sacred Heart: 1.5
vs
Holy Cross: 0.7
Assists (L5)
+42.6% more
Sacred Heart: 13.9
vs
Holy Cross: 9.7
Rebounding (L5)
+23.2% more
Sacred Heart: 35.7
vs
Holy Cross: 29.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
HC Score
79.0
66
SHU Score
52.0
79
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
32.5 / 32.9
40.0 / 35.0
Assists
13.9 / 9.7
17.0 / 12.0
Blocks
1.5 / 0.7
2.0 / 0.0
Field Goal %
39.6 / 41.8
44.0 / 45.0
Free Throw %
70.2 / 62.3
75.0 / 73.0
Rebounding
35.7 / 29.0
32.0 / 34.0
Steals
7.9 / 6.5
12.0 / 4.0
Turnovers
13.5 / 12.3
10.0 / 16.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
HC
11-22-0
(33.3%)
Margin: -5.1
ATS +/-: -0.2
SHU
Advantage
14-19-0
(42.4%)
Margin: -1.4
ATS +/-: -1.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
HC
Advantage
15-15-0
(50.0%)
Margin: -5.1
ATS +/-: -0.2
SHU
15-17-0
(46.9%)
Margin: -1.4
ATS +/-: -1.3
⚖️ Over/Under
HC
15-15-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0%
Total +/-: +0.3
SHU
15-17-0
O: 46.9% / U: 53.1%
Total +/-: +1.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
SHU
HC
SHU
HC
ML
61%
20-13
52%
16-15
73%
24-9
61%
19-12
ATS
76%
25-8
55%
17-14
73%
24-9
64%
21-12
TTL
58%
19-14
58%
18-13
100%
33-0
100%
33-0
Contextual Game News
