ARMY
BLACK KNIGHTSARMY
1-4 | Road
65
MARIST
RED FOXESMRST
2-2 | Home
76
AI Model Win Probability
BLACK KNIGHTS
0%
RED FOXES
100%
BLACK KNIGHTS
--
RED FOXES
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
143.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-17.0
ARMY
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +17.0 points (Army)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around ARMY -17.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (ARMY)
ARMY By 1-7 points
12.2%
ARMY By 8-14 points
23.0%
MRST By 1-7 points
3.3%
MRST By 8-14 points
0.6%
AI Model Projected Score
Army
80
ARMY
Marist
63
MARIST
Simulated Score
Army
65
ARMY
Marist
68
MARIST
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Black Knights
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Red Foxes
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Black Knights (-0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -17.0
D
Sim
Red Foxes (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -3.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 143.0
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 133.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Nov 21, 2025
ARMY @ MRST
65 - 76
Nov 15, 2024
ARMY @ MRST
88 - 91
Nov 6, 2023
MRST @ ARMY
71 - 55
Nov 27, 2021
MRST @ ARMY
61 - 65
Nov 30, 2019
ARMY @ MRST
66 - 64
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+484.0% more
Marist: 5.3
vs
Army: 0.4
Assists (L5)
+35.3% more
Marist: 16.0
vs
Army: 11.8
Steals (L5)
+10.9% more
Marist: 7.7
vs
Army: 7.0
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+9.6%
Marist: 33.3%
vs
Army: 23.7%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
ARMY Score
80.0
65
MRST Score
63.0
76
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
33.3 / 23.7
21.0 / 22.0
Assists
16.0 / 11.8
16.0 / 8.0
Blocks
5.3 / 0.4
2.0 / 2.0
Field Goal %
43.6 / 37.3
44.0 / 38.0
Free Throw %
77.3 / 69.3
92.0 / 78.0
Rebounding
36.7 / 33.9
40.0 / 36.0
Steals
7.7 / 7.0
7.0 / 4.0
Turnovers
12.9 / 12.3
9.0 / 12.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
ARMY
11-21-0
(34.4%)
Margin: -5.1
ATS +/-: -1.6
MRST
Advantage
19-12-0
(61.3%)
Margin: 5.8
ATS +/-: +1.6
🎯 ATS (Spread)
ARMY
12-18-0
(40.0%)
Margin: -5.1
ATS +/-: -1.6
MRST
Advantage
15-13-1
(53.6%)
Margin: 5.8
ATS +/-: +1.6
⚖️ Over/Under
ARMY
17-13-0
O: 56.7% / U: 43.3%
Total +/-: +3.3
MRST
11-18-0
O: 37.9% / U: 62.1%
Total +/-: -3.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
MRST
ARMY
MRST
ARMY
ML
55%
17-14
44%
14-18
61%
19-12
50%
16-16
ATS
74%
23-8
44%
14-18
61%
19-12
50%
16-16
TTL
52%
16-15
81%
26-6
100%
31-0
100%
32-0
