Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Lions @ Mountain Hawks COLU @ LEH

COLUMBIA

LIONSCOLU

3-1  |  Road

82
FINAL
Fri, Nov 21 • 6:00 PM ET
Stabler Arena
View Odds Details →

LEHIGH

MOUNTAIN HAWKSLEH

2-3  |  Home

67
AI Model Win Probability
LIONS
100%
📊
MOUNTAIN HAWKS
0%
LIONS --
MOUNTAIN HAWKS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
138.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-4.0
LEHIGH
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +4.0 points (Lehigh)
LionsCOLU (-3.5) 0 Mountain HawksLEH (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Lions Cover

34.5%

Mountain Hawks Cover

65.5%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around LEH -4.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (LEH)

COLU By 1-7 points

20.1%

COLU By 8-14 points

9.3%

LEH By 1-7 points

27.4%

LEH By 8-14 points

21.6%

AI Model Projected Score
67
COLUMBIA
71
LEHIGH
Simulated Score
68
COLUMBIA
72
LEHIGH
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Mountain Hawks Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Mountain Hawks Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Mountain Hawks (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Sim Mountain Hawks (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 138.0
D
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 21, 2025 COLU @ LEH 82 - 67
Nov 12, 2024 LEH @ COLU 75 - 76
Nov 23, 2021 COLU @ LEH 72 - 79
Nov 30, 2019 LEH @ COLU 64 - 68
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5) +97.8% more
Lehigh: 8.8 vs Columbia: 4.5
Blocks (L5) +16.6% more
Lehigh: 3.8 vs Columbia: 3.3
Rebounding (L5) +17.6% more
Columbia: 40.2 vs Lehigh: 33.2
Free Throw % (L5) +4.8%
Columbia: 72.8% vs Lehigh: 68.1%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
COLU Score 67.0 82
LEH Score 71.0 67
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 33.9 / 34.1 32.0 / 38.0
Assists 13.7 / 14.5 12.0 / 15.0
Blocks 3.8 / 3.3 1.0 / 1.0
Field Goal % 44.4 / 43.4 42.0 / 52.0
Free Throw % 68.1 / 72.8 52.0 / 63.0
Rebounding 33.2 / 40.2 23.0 / 48.0
Steals 8.8 / 4.5 6.0 / 5.0
Turnovers 13.4 / 13.7 9.0 / 15.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
70%TICKETS30%
13%MONEY87%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
50%TICKETS50%
45%MONEY55%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
66%TICKETS34%
64%MONEY36%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
COLU Advantage
16-12-0 (57.1%)
Margin: 5.0 ATS +/-: 0.0
LEH
18-17-0 (51.4%)
Margin: -1.1 ATS +/-: +1.0
🎯 ATS (Spread)
COLU
13-13-0 (50.0%)
Margin: 5.0 ATS +/-: 0.0
LEH Advantage
18-14-1 (56.3%)
Margin: -1.1 ATS +/-: +1.0
⚖️ Over/Under
COLU
14-12-0
O: 53.8% / U: 46.2% Total +/-: -1.1
LEH
18-15-0
O: 54.6% / U: 45.5% Total +/-: +4.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
LEH
COLU
LEH
COLU
ML
56% 19-15
44% 12-15
68% 23-11
56% 15-12
ATS
56% 19-15
59% 16-11
68% 23-11
56% 15-12
TTL
76% 26-8
74% 20-7
100% 34-0
100% 27-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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