Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Greyhounds @ Wildcats L-MD @ UK

LOYOLA MARYLAND

GREYHOUNDSL-MD

2-4  |  Road

46
FINAL
Fri, Nov 21 • 7:00 PM ET
Rupp Arena
View Odds Details →

KENTUCKY

WILDCATSUK

3-2  |  Home

88
AI Model Win Probability
GREYHOUNDS
100%
📊
WILDCATS
0%
GREYHOUNDS --
WILDCATS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
99.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-27.0
KENTUCKY
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +27.0 points (Kentucky)
GreyhoundsL-MD (-3.5) 0 WildcatsUK (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Greyhounds Cover

0.3%

Wildcats Cover

99.7%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around UK -27.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (UK)

L-MD By 1-7 points

0.3%

L-MD By 8-14 points

0.0%

UK By 1-7 points

2.2%

UK By 8-14 points

8.0%

AI Model Projected Score
36
LOYOLA MARYLAND
63
KENTUCKY
Simulated Score
59
LOYOLA MARYLAND
88
KENTUCKY
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Wildcats Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Wildcats Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Wildcats (+35.5) Win
Proj Spread: -27.0
D
Sim Wildcats (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -29.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u159.5 Win
Proj Total: 99.0
D
Sim u159.5 Win
Proj Total: 147.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 21, 2025 L-MD @ UK 46 - 88
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +48.6% more
Kentucky: 4.7 vs Loyola Maryland: 3.2
Assists (L5) +30.0% more
Kentucky: 17.1 vs Loyola Maryland: 13.2
Rebounding (L5) +25.7% more
Kentucky: 39.0 vs Loyola Maryland: 31.0
Free Throw % (L5) +14.7%
Kentucky: 77.4% vs Loyola Maryland: 62.7%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
L-MD Score 36.0 46
UK Score 63.0 88
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 31.4 / 33.8 37.0 / 21.0
Assists 17.1 / 13.2 21.0 / 8.0
Blocks 4.7 / 3.2 6.0 / 5.0
Field Goal % 46.8 / 48.7 49.0 / 29.0
Free Throw % 77.4 / 62.7 44.0 / 38.0
Rebounding 39.0 / 31.0 56.0 / 33.0
Steals 6.6 / 7.2 11.0 / 5.0
Turnovers 10.8 / 11.3 9.0 / 16.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
25%TICKETS75%
13%MONEY87%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
54%TICKETS46%
8%MONEY92%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
L-MD
12-20-0 (37.5%)
Margin: -1.8 ATS +/-: -0.5
UK Advantage
22-14-0 (61.1%)
Margin: 6.2 ATS +/-: -1.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
L-MD Advantage
15-14-1 (51.7%)
Margin: -1.8 ATS +/-: -0.5
UK
18-18-0 (50.0%)
Margin: 6.2 ATS +/-: -1.4
⚖️ Over/Under
L-MD
17-13-0
O: 56.7% / U: 43.3% Total +/-: +4.5
UK
18-18-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0% Total +/-: -0.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
UK
L-MD
UK
L-MD
ML
71% 25-10
53% 17-15
72% 23-9
66% 21-11
ATS
83% 29-6
56% 18-14
72% 23-9
66% 21-11
TTL
63% 22-13
44% 14-18
100% 32-0
100% 32-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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