AI Model Win Probability
JASPERS
100%
AGGIES
0%
JASPERS
--
AGGIES
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
151.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-13.0
TEXAS A&M
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +13.0 points (Texas A&M)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around TA&M -13.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (TA&M)
MAN By 1-7 points
6.8%
MAN By 8-14 points
1.7%
TA&M By 1-7 points
18.6%
TA&M By 8-14 points
26.8%
AI Model Projected Score
Manhattan
69
MANHATTAN
Texas A&M
82
TEXAS A&M
Simulated Score
Manhattan
59
MANHATTAN
Texas A&M
78
TEXAS A&M
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Aggies
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Aggies
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Aggies (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -13.0
D
Sim
Aggies (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -19.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 151.0
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 137.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Nov 21, 2025
MAN @ TA&M
68 - 109
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+34.3% more
Texas A&M: 2.8
vs
Manhattan: 2.1
Assists (L5)
+33.0% more
Texas A&M: 17.5
vs
Manhattan: 13.2
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+5.6%
Manhattan: 36.2%
vs
Texas A&M: 30.6%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
MAN Score
69.0
68
TA&M Score
82.0
109
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
30.6 / 36.2
49.0 / 45.0
Assists
17.5 / 13.2
32.0 / 14.0
Blocks
2.8 / 2.1
3.0 / 1.0
Field Goal %
45.0 / 44.7
58.0 / 44.0
Free Throw %
73.9 / 74.4
76.0 / 58.0
Rebounding
34.0 / 32.6
36.0 / 28.0
Steals
7.2 / 7.7
7.0 / 4.0
Turnovers
11.8 / 11.7
8.0 / 16.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
MAN
12-20-0
(37.5%)
Margin: -4.9
ATS +/-: -3.1
TA&M
Advantage
22-12-0
(64.7%)
Margin: 7.1
ATS +/-: +0.6
🎯 ATS (Spread)
MAN
11-19-1
(36.7%)
Margin: -4.9
ATS +/-: -3.1
TA&M
Advantage
19-15-0
(55.9%)
Margin: 7.1
ATS +/-: +0.6
⚖️ Over/Under
MAN
13-18-0
O: 41.9% / U: 58.1%
Total +/-: +2.4
TA&M
20-14-0
O: 58.8% / U: 41.2%
Total +/-: +2.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
TA&M
MAN
TA&M
MAN
ML
67%
20-10
52%
16-15
54%
15-13
68%
21-10
ATS
67%
20-10
52%
16-15
54%
15-13
69%
22-10
TTL
70%
21-9
77%
24-7
100%
28-0
100%
32-0