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IONA

GAELSIONA

4-1  |  Road

75
FINAL
Fri, Nov 21 • 5:30 PM ET
UVI Sports & Fitness Center
View Odds Details →

AKRON

ZIPSAKR

4-1  |  Home

96
AI Model Win Probability
GAELS
0%
📊
ZIPS
100%
GAELS --
ZIPS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
149.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+5.0
AKRON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
GaelsIONA (-3.5) 0 ZipsAKR (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Gaels Cover

30.9%

Zips Cover

69.1%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around AKR +5.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (AKR)

IONA By 1-7 points

27.2%

IONA By 8-14 points

23.0%

AKR By 1-7 points

18.6%

AKR By 8-14 points

8.0%

AI Model Projected Score
77
IONA
72
AKRON
Simulated Score
68
IONA
72
AKRON
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Gaels Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Zips Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Zips (+11.5) Win
Proj Spread: +5.0
D
Sim Zips (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u174.5 Win
Proj Total: 149.0
D
Sim u174.5 Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 21, 2025 IONA @ AKR 75 - 96
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5) +24.7% more
Iona: 12.3 vs Akron: 9.3
Field Goal % (L5) +4.1%
Iona: 49.1% vs Akron: 45.0%
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +1.5%
Iona: 36.9% vs Akron: 35.4%
Assists (L5) +24.0% more
Akron: 20.5 vs Iona: 16.5
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
IONA Score 77.0 75
AKR Score 72.0 96
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 35.4 / 36.9 43.0 / 32.0
Assists 20.5 / 16.5 20.0 / 12.0
Blocks 3.9 / 3.7 0.0 / 1.0
Field Goal % 45.0 / 49.1 54.0 / 44.0
Free Throw % 70.1 / 68.1 68.0 / 65.0
Rebounding 39.9 / 36.1 40.0 / 31.0
Steals 9.2 / 8.2 5.0 / 4.0
Turnovers 9.3 / 12.3 11.0 / 17.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
5%TICKETS95%
18%MONEY82%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
60%TICKETS40%
38%MONEY62%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
35%TICKETS65%
90%MONEY10%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
IONA
18-14-0 (56.3%)
Margin: 0.7 ATS +/-: 0.0
AKR Advantage
29-6-0 (82.9%)
Margin: 13.9 ATS +/-: +1.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
IONA Advantage
19-13-0 (59.4%)
Margin: 0.7 ATS +/-: 0.0
AKR
17-16-0 (51.5%)
Margin: 13.9 ATS +/-: +1.3
⚖️ Over/Under
IONA
12-20-0
O: 37.5% / U: 62.5% Total +/-: -1.6
AKR
15-17-1
O: 46.9% / U: 53.1% Total +/-: +0.2
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
AKR
IONA
AKR
IONA
ML
71% 24-10
41% 13-19
65% 22-12
62% 20-12
ATS
76% 26-8
53% 17-15
65% 22-12
62% 20-12
TTL
59% 20-14
66% 21-11
100% 34-0
100% 32-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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