NORTHERN ILLINOIS
HUSKIESNIU
3-3 | Road
76
LOYOLA CHICAGO
RAMBLERSLUC
1-5 | Home
59
AI Model Win Probability
HUSKIES
100%
RAMBLERS
0%
HUSKIES
--
RAMBLERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
122.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-12.0
LOYOLA CHICAGO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +12.0 points (Loyola Chicago)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around LUC -12.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (LUC)
NIU By 1-7 points
8.0%
NIU By 8-14 points
2.2%
LUC By 1-7 points
20.1%
LUC By 8-14 points
27.2%
AI Model Projected Score
Northern Illinois
55
NORTHERN ILLINOIS
Loyola Chicago
67
LOYOLA CHICAGO
Simulated Score
Northern Illinois
61
NORTHERN ILLINOIS
Loyola Chicago
72
LOYOLA CHICAGO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Ramblers
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Ramblers
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Ramblers (+13.5)
Loss
Proj Spread: -12.0
D
Sim
Ramblers (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -11.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u150.5
Win
Proj Total: 122.0
D
Sim
u150.5
Win
Proj Total: 133.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Nov 21, 2025
NIU @ LUC
76 - 59
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+140.3% more
Loyola Chicago: 4.5
vs
Northern Illinois: 1.9
Steals (L5)
+32.9% more
Northern Illinois: 6.8
vs
Loyola Chicago: 4.6
Turnovers (L5)
+19.3% more
Northern Illinois: 14.6
vs
Loyola Chicago: 11.8
Assists (L5)
+9.6% more
Northern Illinois: 14.5
vs
Loyola Chicago: 13.1
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
NIU Score
55.0
76
LUC Score
67.0
59
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
34.5 / 41.3
36.0 / 41.0
Assists
13.1 / 14.5
16.0 / 17.0
Blocks
4.5 / 1.9
6.0 / 1.0
Field Goal %
42.6 / 45.1
44.0 / 42.0
Free Throw %
73.2 / 71.9
57.0 / 80.0
Rebounding
31.6 / 31.2
27.0 / 39.0
Steals
4.6 / 6.8
2.0 / 11.0
Turnovers
11.8 / 14.6
13.0 / 10.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
NIU
Advantage
9-21-0
(30.0%)
Margin: -8.3
ATS +/-: -3.1
LUC
9-24-0
(27.3%)
Margin: -9.0
ATS +/-: -4.7
🎯 ATS (Spread)
NIU
Advantage
13-15-0
(46.4%)
Margin: -8.3
ATS +/-: -3.1
LUC
13-20-0
(39.4%)
Margin: -9.0
ATS +/-: -4.7
⚖️ Over/Under
NIU
8-20-0
O: 28.6% / U: 71.4%
Total +/-: -4.8
LUC
14-19-0
O: 42.4% / U: 57.6%
Total +/-: -1.9
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
LUC
NIU
LUC
NIU
ML
55%
18-15
67%
20-10
50%
16-16
66%
19-10
ATS
64%
21-12
63%
19-11
50%
16-16
66%
19-10
TTL
76%
25-8
67%
20-10
100%
32-0
100%
29-0
Contextual Game News
UConn Men's Basketball 2026-27 TV Schedule Revealed: Up to Seven…
Colts 2026-27 Tickets: Schedule, Best Matchups, Prices & Lucas O…
Dan Hurley's UConn Overhaul: How 10 New Faces Fit National Title…
UConn Men's Basketball Faces Nation's Toughest Nonconference Sch…
UCLA vs. San Diego State: Key Matchups to Watch as Bruins Aim fo…