GREEN BAY
PHOENIXGB
1-4 | Road
67
YALE
BULLDOGSYALE
3-1 | Home
73
AI Model Win Probability
PHOENIX
100%
BULLDOGS
0%
PHOENIX
--
BULLDOGS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
137.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-31.0
YALE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +31.0 points (Yale)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around YALE -31.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (YALE)
GB By 1-7 points
0.1%
GB By 8-14 points
0.0%
YALE By 1-7 points
0.8%
YALE By 8-14 points
4.0%
AI Model Projected Score
Green Bay
53
GREEN BAY
Yale
84
YALE
Simulated Score
Green Bay
71
GREEN BAY
Yale
78
YALE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Bulldogs
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Bulldogs
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Bulldogs (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -31.0
D
Sim
Bulldogs (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 137.0
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 149.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Nov 21, 2025
GB @ YALE
67 - 73
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+52.4% more
Yale: 6.0
vs
Green Bay: 4.0
Free Throw % (L5)
+16.3%
Yale: 80.9%
vs
Green Bay: 64.6%
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+15.0%
Yale: 43.3%
vs
Green Bay: 28.3%
Field Goal % (L5)
+6.3%
Yale: 49.8%
vs
Green Bay: 43.5%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
GB Score
53.0
67
YALE Score
84.0
73
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
43.3 / 28.3
44.0 / 28.0
Assists
15.8 / 15.3
16.0 / 13.0
Blocks
3.7 / 3.9
2.0 / 3.0
Field Goal %
49.8 / 43.5
51.0 / 40.0
Free Throw %
80.9 / 64.6
74.0 / 63.0
Rebounding
32.0 / 35.4
31.0 / 32.0
Steals
6.0 / 4.0
4.0 / 2.0
Turnovers
11.2 / 12.2
9.0 / 8.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
GB
18-15-0
(54.6%)
Margin: 0.0
ATS +/-: +3.2
YALE
Advantage
24-7-0
(77.4%)
Margin: 10.4
ATS +/-: -0.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
GB
Advantage
19-12-0
(61.3%)
Margin: 0.0
ATS +/-: +3.2
YALE
12-16-1
(42.9%)
Margin: 10.4
ATS +/-: -0.2
⚖️ Over/Under
GB
16-15-0
O: 51.6% / U: 48.4%
Total +/-: +2.1
YALE
15-14-0
O: 51.7% / U: 48.3%
Total +/-: +1.1
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
YALE
GB
YALE
GB
ML
48%
15-16
48%
16-17
58%
18-13
67%
22-11
ATS
65%
20-11
52%
17-16
58%
18-13
67%
22-11
TTL
61%
19-12
58%
19-14
100%
31-0
100%
33-0
Contextual Game News
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