Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Wildcats @ Eagles DAV @ BC

DAVIDSON

WILDCATSDAV

4-0  |  Road

59
FINAL
Fri, Nov 21 • 3:30 PM ET
TD Arena
View Odds Details →

BOSTON COLLEGE

EAGLESBC

3-2  |  Home

49
AI Model Win Probability
WILDCATS
100%
📊
EAGLES
0%
WILDCATS --
EAGLES --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
144.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-8.0
BOSTON COLLEGE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +8.0 points (Boston College)
WildcatsDAV (-3.5) 0 EaglesBC (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Wildcats Cover

21.2%

Eagles Cover

78.8%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around BC -8.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (BC)

DAV By 1-7 points

13.7%

DAV By 8-14 points

4.8%

BC By 1-7 points

25.3%

BC By 8-14 points

26.2%

AI Model Projected Score
68
DAVIDSON
76
BOSTON COLLEGE
Simulated Score
70
DAVIDSON
74
BOSTON COLLEGE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Eagles Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Eagles Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Eagles (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -8.0
D
Sim Eagles (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 144.0
D
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 144.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 21, 2025 DAV @ BC 59 - 49
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +30.5% more
Boston College: 6.0 vs Davidson: 4.6
Rebounding (L5) +25.8% more
Boston College: 40.3 vs Davidson: 32.0
Turnovers (L5) +30.3% more
Davidson: 13.4 vs Boston College: 9.3
Assists (L5) +21.7% more
Davidson: 15.7 vs Boston College: 12.3
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
DAV Score 68.0 59
BC Score 76.0 49
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 24.0 / 43.1 14.0 / 25.0
Assists 12.3 / 15.7 9.0 / 7.0
Blocks 6.0 / 4.6 3.0 / 3.0
Field Goal % 40.3 / 50.6 39.0 / 44.0
Free Throw % 70.2 / 76.0 57.0 / 71.0
Rebounding 40.3 / 32.0 36.0 / 25.0
Steals 5.5 / 6.3 3.0 / 7.0
Turnovers 9.3 / 13.4 14.0 / 7.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
51%TICKETS49%
45%MONEY55%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
45%TICKETS55%
12%MONEY88%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
82%TICKETS18%
91%MONEY9%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
DAV Advantage
20-14-0 (58.8%)
Margin: 4.1 ATS +/-: +0.9
BC
11-20-0 (35.5%)
Margin: -3.3 ATS +/-: -0.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
DAV
13-17-2 (43.3%)
Margin: 4.1 ATS +/-: +0.9
BC Advantage
15-16-0 (48.4%)
Margin: -3.3 ATS +/-: -0.3
⚖️ Over/Under
DAV
14-18-0
O: 43.8% / U: 56.3% Total +/-: -2.6
BC
12-19-0
O: 38.7% / U: 61.3% Total +/-: -3.7
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
BC
DAV
BC
DAV
ML
61% 19-12
64% 21-12
61% 17-11
58% 19-14
ATS
73% 22-8-1
48% 16-17
61% 17-11
58% 19-14
TTL
61% 19-12
52% 17-16
100% 28-0
100% 33-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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