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SIU EDWARDSVILLE

COUGARSSIUE

3-3  |  Road

63
FINAL
Fri, Nov 21 • 6:00 PM ET
Clune Arena
View Odds Details →

AIR FORCE

FALCONSAF

2-4  |  Home

77
AI Model Win Probability
COUGARS
0%
📊
FALCONS
100%
COUGARS --
FALCONS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
160.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-36.0
SIU EDWARDSVILLE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +36.0 points (SIU Edwardsville)
CougarsSIUE (-3.5) 0 FalconsAF (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Cougars Cover

100.0%

Falcons Cover

0.0%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around SIUE -36.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (SIUE)

SIUE By 1-7 points

0.2%

SIUE By 8-14 points

1.4%

AF By 1-7 points

0.0%

AF By 8-14 points

0.0%

AI Model Projected Score
98
SIU EDWARDSVILLE
62
AIR FORCE
Simulated Score
69
SIU EDWARDSVILLE
73
AIR FORCE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Cougars Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Falcons Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Cougars (+2.5) Loss
Proj Spread: -36.0
D
Sim Falcons (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o130.5 Win
Proj Total: 160.0
D
Sim u130.5 Win
Proj Total: 142.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 21, 2025 SIUE @ AF 63 - 77
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +38.4% more
SIU Edwardsville: 4.2 vs Air Force: 2.6
Rebounding (L5) +14.4% more
SIU Edwardsville: 38.1 vs Air Force: 32.6
Free Throw % (L5) +8.8%
SIU Edwardsville: 70.9% vs Air Force: 62.1%
Turnovers (L5) +31.5% more
Air Force: 15.7 vs SIU Edwardsville: 12.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
SIUE Score 98.0 63
AF Score 62.0 77
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 35.8 / 32.0 29.0 / 25.0
Assists 13.5 / 10.9 12.0 / 9.0
Blocks 2.6 / 4.2 5.0 / 3.0
Field Goal % 44.3 / 42.8 43.0 / 39.0
Free Throw % 62.1 / 70.9 73.0 / 67.0
Rebounding 32.6 / 38.1 41.0 / 33.0
Steals 6.9 / 6.8 7.0 / 4.0
Turnovers 15.7 / 12.0 10.0 / 13.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
76%TICKETS24%
97%MONEY3%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
73%TICKETS27%
72%MONEY28%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
SIUE Advantage
19-13-0 (59.4%)
Margin: 6.3 ATS +/-: +1.2
AF
3-29-0 (9.4%)
Margin: -18.3 ATS +/-: -4.9
🎯 ATS (Spread)
SIUE Advantage
15-14-0 (51.7%)
Margin: 6.3 ATS +/-: +1.2
AF
10-21-1 (32.3%)
Margin: -18.3 ATS +/-: -4.9
⚖️ Over/Under
SIUE
11-18-0
O: 37.9% / U: 62.1% Total +/-: -4.5
AF
19-13-0
O: 59.4% / U: 40.6% Total +/-: +0.2
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
AF
SIUE
AF
SIUE
ML
81% 26-6
65% 20-11
62% 20-12
60% 18-12
ATS
69% 22-10
55% 17-14
62% 20-12
60% 18-12
TTL
69% 22-10
48% 15-16
100% 32-0
100% 30-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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