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DETROIT MERCY

TITANSDETM

1-4  |  Road

56
FINAL
Fri, Nov 21 • 6:30 PM ET
Breslin Center
View Odds Details →

MICHIGAN STATE

SPARTANSMSU

4-0  |  Home

84
AI Model Win Probability
TITANS
100%
📊
SPARTANS
0%
TITANS --
SPARTANS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
141.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
MICHIGAN STATE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Michigan State)
TitansDETM (-3.5) 0 SpartansMSU (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Titans Cover

46.0%

Spartans Cover

54.0%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around MSU -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (MSU)

DETM By 1-7 points

24.3%

DETM By 8-14 points

13.7%

MSU By 1-7 points

26.2%

MSU By 8-14 points

16.9%

AI Model Projected Score
70
DETROIT MERCY
71
MICHIGAN STATE
Simulated Score
58
DETROIT MERCY
85
MICHIGAN STATE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Spartans Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Spartans Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Spartans (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -1.0
D
Sim Spartans (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -27.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 141.0
D
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 143.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 21, 2025 DETM @ MSU 56 - 84
Dec 4, 2020 DETM @ MSU 76 - 83
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5) +91.9% more
Michigan State: 21.1 vs Detroit Mercy: 11.0
Blocks (L5) +59.1% more
Michigan State: 4.5 vs Detroit Mercy: 2.8
Rebounding (L5) +10.9% more
Michigan State: 42.8 vs Detroit Mercy: 38.6
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +10.8%
Michigan State: 32.4% vs Detroit Mercy: 21.6%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
DETM Score 70.0 56
MSU Score 71.0 84
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 32.4 / 21.6 30.0 / 25.0
Assists 21.1 / 11.0 18.0 / 9.0
Blocks 4.5 / 2.8 5.0 / 2.0
Field Goal % 45.9 / 40.4 46.0 / 37.0
Free Throw % 73.7 / 73.8 77.0 / 88.0
Rebounding 42.8 / 38.6 42.0 / 31.0
Steals 5.8 / 6.3 8.0 / 7.0
Turnovers 11.3 / 12.4 12.0 / 15.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
31%TICKETS69%
69%MONEY31%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
74%TICKETS26%
97%MONEY3%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
DETM
17-15-0 (53.1%)
Margin: -0.1 ATS +/-: +3.7
MSU Advantage
27-8-0 (77.1%)
Margin: 10.5 ATS +/-: +1.5
🎯 ATS (Spread)
DETM Advantage
20-9-1 (69.0%)
Margin: -0.1 ATS +/-: +3.7
MSU
17-16-2 (51.5%)
Margin: 10.5 ATS +/-: +1.5
⚖️ Over/Under
DETM
14-16-0
O: 46.7% / U: 53.3% Total +/-: +0.3
MSU
16-19-0
O: 45.7% / U: 54.3% Total +/-: +1.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
MSU
DETM
MSU
DETM
ML
71% 25-10
58% 18-13
61% 20-13
50% 15-15
ATS
71% 25-10
61% 19-12
61% 20-13
50% 15-15
TTL
49% 17-18
61% 19-12
100% 33-0
100% 30-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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