AI Model Win Probability
GOLDEN GRIZZLIES
100%
EAGLES
0%
GOLDEN GRIZZLIES
--
EAGLES
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
158.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-6.0
EASTERN MICHIGAN
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +6.0 points (Eastern Michigan)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around EMU -6.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (EMU)
OAK By 1-7 points
16.9%
OAK By 8-14 points
6.8%
EMU By 1-7 points
26.8%
EMU By 8-14 points
24.3%
AI Model Projected Score
Oakland
76
OAKLAND
Eastern Michigan
82
EASTERN MICHIGAN
Simulated Score
Oakland
71
OAKLAND
Eastern Michigan
77
EASTERN MICHIGAN
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Eagles
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Eagles
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Eagles (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -6.0
D
Sim
Eagles (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -6.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 158.0
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 148.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Nov 21, 2025
OAK @ EMU
91 - 97
Nov 21, 2024
EMU @ OAK
68 - 64
Dec 8, 2023
OAK @ EMU
77 - 63
Nov 19, 2022
EMU @ OAK
90 - 92
Key Model Drivers
Rebounding (L5)
+14.1% more
Eastern Michigan: 39.2
vs
Oakland: 34.4
Turnovers (L5)
+13.7% more
Eastern Michigan: 12.4
vs
Oakland: 10.9
Blocks (L5)
+8.8% more
Eastern Michigan: 2.4
vs
Oakland: 2.2
Assists (L5)
+18.2% more
Oakland: 15.2
vs
Eastern Michigan: 12.5
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
OAK Score
76.0
91
EMU Score
82.0
97
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
33.1 / 35.1
45.0 / 41.0
Assists
12.5 / 15.2
25.0 / 18.0
Blocks
2.4 / 2.2
4.0 / 3.0
Field Goal %
43.5 / 46.4
63.0 / 51.0
Free Throw %
70.4 / 77.3
87.0 / 70.0
Rebounding
39.2 / 34.4
31.0 / 29.0
Steals
6.9 / 7.7
4.0 / 7.0
Turnovers
12.4 / 10.9
12.0 / 8.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
OAK
Advantage
16-16-0
(50.0%)
Margin: 0.9
ATS +/-: -0.1
EMU
10-21-0
(32.3%)
Margin: -2.8
ATS +/-: +1.1
🎯 ATS (Spread)
OAK
17-14-0
(54.8%)
Margin: 0.9
ATS +/-: -0.1
EMU
Advantage
20-10-0
(66.7%)
Margin: -2.8
ATS +/-: +1.1
⚖️ Over/Under
OAK
19-12-0
O: 61.3% / U: 38.7%
Total +/-: +4.0
EMU
9-21-0
O: 30.0% / U: 70.0%
Total +/-: -3.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
EMU
OAK
EMU
OAK
ML
65%
20-11
62%
20-12
70%
21-9
59%
19-13
ATS
65%
20-11
50%
16-16
70%
21-9
59%
19-13
TTL
71%
22-9
62%
20-12
100%
30-0
100%
32-0