Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Quakers @ Dragons PENN @ DREX

PENNSYLVANIA

QUAKERSPENN

2-2  |  Road

84
FINAL
Fri, Nov 21 • 7:00 PM ET
Daskalakis Athletic Center
View Odds Details →

DREXEL

DRAGONSDREX

2-3  |  Home

68
AI Model Win Probability
QUAKERS
100%
📊
DRAGONS
0%
QUAKERS --
DRAGONS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
150.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-62.0
DREXEL
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +62.0 points (Drexel)
QuakersPENN (-3.5) 0 DragonsDREX (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Quakers Cover

0.0%

Dragons Cover

100.0%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around DREX -62.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (DREX)

PENN By 1-7 points

0.0%

PENN By 8-14 points

0.0%

DREX By 1-7 points

0.0%

DREX By 8-14 points

0.0%

AI Model Projected Score
44
PENNSYLVANIA
106
DREXEL
Simulated Score
68
PENNSYLVANIA
71
DREXEL
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Dragons Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Dragons Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Dragons (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -62.0
D
Sim Dragons (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -3.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 150.0
D
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 139.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 21, 2025 PENN @ DREX 84 - 68
Dec 7, 2024 PENN @ DREX 47 - 60
Nov 15, 2022 PENN @ DREX 64 - 59
Key Model Drivers
Free Throw % (L5) +18.1%
Pennsylvania: 79.4% vs Drexel: 61.3%
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +7.4%
Pennsylvania: 40.7% vs Drexel: 33.3%
Field Goal % (L5) +2.9%
Pennsylvania: 44.0% vs Drexel: 41.1%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
PENN Score 44.0 84
DREX Score 106.0 68
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 33.3 / 40.7 39.0 / 36.0
Assists 14.6 / 13.7 8.0 / 15.0
Blocks 3.3 / 3.5 4.0 / 1.0
Field Goal % 41.1 / 44.0 42.0 / 50.0
Free Throw % 61.3 / 79.4 41.0 / 79.0
Rebounding 40.9 / 38.1 33.0 / 40.0
Steals 7.2 / 7.6 5.0 / 5.0
Turnovers 12.5 / 13.2 9.0 / 11.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
9%TICKETS91%
18%MONEY82%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
40%TICKETS60%
98%MONEY2%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
61%TICKETS39%
33%MONEY67%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
PENN
--
DREX Advantage
17-16-0 (51.5%)
Margin: 0.8 ATS +/-: +0.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
PENN
--
DREX Advantage
18-13-1 (58.1%)
Margin: 0.8 ATS +/-: +0.3
⚖️ Over/Under
PENN
--
DREX
14-17-1
O: 45.2% / U: 54.8% Total +/-: -2.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
DREX
PENN
DREX
PENN
ML
58% 19-14
53% 16-14
81% 26-6
76% 22-7
ATS
70% 23-10
63% 19-11
81% 26-6
76% 22-7
TTL
48% 16-17
70% 21-9
100% 32-0
100% 29-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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