Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Ragin' Cajuns @ Broncos UL @ SCU

LOUISIANA

RAGIN' CAJUNSUL

1-4  |  Road

43
FINAL
Fri, Nov 21 • 10:00 PM ET
Leavey Center
View Odds Details →

SANTA CLARA

BRONCOSSCU

5-0  |  Home

80
AI Model Win Probability
RAGIN' CAJUNS
100%
📊
BRONCOS
0%
RAGIN' CAJUNS --
BRONCOS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
158.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-44.0
SANTA CLARA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +44.0 points (Santa Clara)
Ragin' CajunsUL (-3.5) 0 BroncosSCU (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Ragin' Cajuns Cover

0.0%

Broncos Cover

100.0%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around SCU -44.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (SCU)

UL By 1-7 points

0.0%

UL By 8-14 points

0.0%

SCU By 1-7 points

0.0%

SCU By 8-14 points

0.1%

AI Model Projected Score
57
LOUISIANA
101
SANTA CLARA
Simulated Score
72
LOUISIANA
78
SANTA CLARA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Broncos Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Broncos Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Broncos (+19.5) Win
Proj Spread: -44.0
D
Sim Broncos (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -6.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o140.5 Loss
Proj Total: 158.0
D
Sim u140.5 Win
Proj Total: 150.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 21, 2025 UL @ SCU 43 - 80
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +238.4% more
Santa Clara: 5.8 vs Louisiana: 1.7
Assists (L5) +178.5% more
Santa Clara: 18.9 vs Louisiana: 6.8
Steals (L5) +110.3% more
Santa Clara: 9.4 vs Louisiana: 4.5
Rebounding (L5) +36.0% more
Santa Clara: 40.3 vs Louisiana: 29.7
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
UL Score 57.0 43
SCU Score 101.0 80
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 32.7 / 26.8 24.0 / 11.0
Assists 18.9 / 6.8 20.0 / 4.0
Blocks 5.8 / 1.7 7.0 / 2.0
Field Goal % 47.1 / 41.9 42.0 / 25.0
Free Throw % 66.0 / 64.5 63.0 / 80.0
Rebounding 40.3 / 29.7 45.0 / 30.0
Steals 9.4 / 4.5 7.0 / 5.0
Turnovers 10.2 / 13.0 8.0 / 18.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
25%TICKETS75%
0%MONEY100%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
76%TICKETS24%
1%MONEY99%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
UL
11-22-0 (33.3%)
Margin: -7.0 ATS +/-: -0.8
SCU Advantage
26-9-0 (74.3%)
Margin: 10.0 ATS +/-: +2.6
🎯 ATS (Spread)
UL
14-18-1 (43.8%)
Margin: -7.0 ATS +/-: -0.8
SCU Advantage
17-16-1 (51.5%)
Margin: 10.0 ATS +/-: +2.6
⚖️ Over/Under
UL
15-18-0
O: 45.5% / U: 54.6% Total +/-: -0.3
SCU
20-13-1
O: 60.6% / U: 39.4% Total +/-: +4.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
SCU
UL
SCU
UL
ML
44% 15-19
66% 21-11
73% 22-8
63% 19-11
ATS
53% 18-16
66% 21-11
74% 23-8
63% 19-11
TTL
47% 16-18
62% 20-12
100% 31-0
100% 30-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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