Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Titans @ Pilots CSUF @ PORT

CAL STATE FULLERTON

TITANSCSUF

1-3  |  Road

85
FINAL
Fri, Nov 21 • 10:00 PM ET
Chiles Center
View Odds Details →

PORTLAND

PILOTSPORT

3-1  |  Home

103
AI Model Win Probability
TITANS
100%
📊
PILOTS
0%
TITANS --
PILOTS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
163.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-3.0
PORTLAND
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +3.0 points (Portland)
TitansCSUF (-3.5) 0 PilotsPORT (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Titans Cover

38.2%

Pilots Cover

61.8%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around PORT -3.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (PORT)

CSUF By 1-7 points

21.6%

CSUF By 8-14 points

10.7%

PORT By 1-7 points

27.2%

PORT By 8-14 points

20.1%

AI Model Projected Score
80
CAL STATE FULLERTON
83
PORTLAND
Simulated Score
68
CAL STATE FULLERTON
72
PORTLAND
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Pilots Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Pilots Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Pilots (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -3.0
D
Sim Pilots (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 163.0
D
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 21, 2025 CSUF @ PORT 85 - 103
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5) +18.3% more
Portland: 14.4 vs Cal State Fullerton: 12.2
Blocks (L5) +11.7% more
Portland: 3.4 vs Cal State Fullerton: 3.0
Assists (L5) +10.2% more
Portland: 14.5 vs Cal State Fullerton: 13.2
Field Goal % (L5) +3.8%
Portland: 43.3% vs Cal State Fullerton: 39.4%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
CSUF Score 80.0 85
PORT Score 83.0 103
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 27.8 / 25.1 52.0 / 40.0
Assists 14.5 / 13.2 24.0 / 22.0
Blocks 3.4 / 3.0 4.0 / 0.0
Field Goal % 43.3 / 39.4 63.0 / 48.0
Free Throw % 68.0 / 67.3 71.0 / 50.0
Rebounding 35.8 / 38.7 34.0 / 29.0
Steals 6.1 / 6.4 9.0 / 6.0
Turnovers 14.4 / 12.2 13.0 / 13.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
6%TICKETS94%
2%MONEY98%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
41%TICKETS59%
27%MONEY73%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
19%TICKETS81%
14%MONEY86%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CSUF Advantage
18-16-0 (52.9%)
Margin: 1.3 ATS +/-: +3.0
PORT
15-19-0 (44.1%)
Margin: -4.1 ATS +/-: +0.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CSUF Advantage
19-11-2 (63.3%)
Margin: 1.3 ATS +/-: +3.0
PORT
15-17-0 (46.9%)
Margin: -4.1 ATS +/-: +0.2
⚖️ Over/Under
CSUF
13-19-0
O: 40.6% / U: 59.4% Total +/-: +0.6
PORT
14-18-0
O: 43.8% / U: 56.3% Total +/-: -1.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
PORT
CSUF
PORT
CSUF
ML
48% 16-17
68% 23-11
82% 27-6
76% 26-8
ATS
67% 22-11
68% 23-11
82% 28-6
76% 26-8
TTL
55% 18-15
59% 20-14
100% 34-0
100% 34-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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