MINNESOTA
WILDMIN
10-7-4 | Road
5
PITTSBURGH
PENGUINSPIT
10-5-4 | Home
0
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Filip Gustavsson
#32 | Goaltender@
GOALTENDER
Arturs Silovs
#37 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Filip Gustavsson | None-None | 0.00 | 1.000 | 1 |
| Arturs Silovs | None-None | 11.37 | 0.600 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
0.00 Ldr
GAA
11.37
1.000 Ldr
Save %
0.600
1 Ldr
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
WILD
100%
PENGUINS
0%
WILD
--
PENGUINS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
7.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
PITTSBURGH
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Pittsburgh)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around PIT -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (PIT)
MIN By 1 goal
12.1%
MIN By 2-3 goals
9.3%
PIT By 1 goal
19.7%
PIT By 2-3 goals
29.6%
AI Model Projected Score
Minnesota
3
MINNESOTA
Pittsburgh
4
PITTSBURGH
Simulated Score
Minnesota
2
MINNESOTA
Pittsburgh
3
PITTSBURGH
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Penguins
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Penguins
Loss
50% Win Prob
B
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Penguins (+1.5)
Loss
Proj Goals: -1.0
D
Sim
Penguins (+0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -1.0
B
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o6.0
Loss
Proj Total: 7.0
D
Sim
u6.0
Win
Proj Total: 5.0
B
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Nov 21, 2025
MIN @ PIT
5 - 0
Oct 30, 2025
PIT @ MIN
4 - 1
Mar 9, 2025
PIT @ MIN
3 - 1
Oct 29, 2024
MIN @ PIT
5 - 3
Feb 9, 2024
PIT @ MIN
2 - 3
Key Model Drivers
Power Play % (L5)
+5.8%
Pittsburgh: 17.0%
vs
Minnesota: 11.2%
Hits (L5)
+31.3% more
Minnesota: 21.1
vs
Pittsburgh: 14.5
Blocked Shots (L5)
+17.4% more
Minnesota: 17.7
vs
Pittsburgh: 14.6
Faceoff % (L5)
+3.6%
Minnesota: 49.3%
vs
Pittsburgh: 45.7%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
MIN Score
3.0
5
PIT Score
4.0
0
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
14.6 / 17.7
13.0 / 14.0
Faceoff %
45.7 / 49.3
52.9 / 47.1
Hits
14.5 / 21.1
9.0 / 20.0
Power Play %
17.0 / 11.2
0.0 / 33.3
Shots on Goal
25.6 / 24.6
19.0 / 21.0
Takeaways
4.5 / 4.7
5.0 / 7.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
PIT
MIN
PIT
MIN
ML
75%
3-1
67%
2-1
25%
1-3
33%
1-2
ATS
75%
3-1
33%
1-2
75%
3-1
33%
1-2
TTL
25%
1-3
100%
3-0
50%
2-2
67%
2-1
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