OTTAWA
SENATORSOTT
9-6-4 | Road
3
ANAHEIM
DUCKSANA
13-6-1 | Home
2
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Linus Ullmark
#35 | Goaltender@
GOALTENDER
Petr Mrazek
#34 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Linus Ullmark | None-None | 2.00 | 0.920 | -- |
| Petr Mrazek | None-None | 3.13 | 0.880 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
2.00 Ldr
GAA
3.13
0.920 Ldr
Save %
0.880
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
SENATORS
0%
DUCKS
100%
SENATORS
--
DUCKS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
6.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-2.0
OTTAWA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +2.0 points (Ottawa)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-6-4-20+2+4+6
Distribution centered around OTT -2.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (OTT)
OTT By 1 goal
17.5%
OTT By 2-3 goals
37.2%
ANA By 1 goal
6.6%
ANA By 2-3 goals
3.7%
AI Model Projected Score
Ottawa
4
OTTAWA
Anaheim
2
ANAHEIM
Simulated Score
Ottawa
3
OTTAWA
Anaheim
4
ANAHEIM
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Senators
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Ducks
Loss
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Senators (+1.5)
Win
Proj Goals: -2.0
D
Sim
Ducks (+0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -1.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u6.5
Win
Proj Total: 6.0
D
Sim
u6.5
Win
Proj Total: 7.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 14, 2026
ANA @ OTT
0 - 2
Nov 20, 2025
OTT @ ANA
3 - 2
Dec 11, 2024
ANA @ OTT
1 - 5
Dec 1, 2024
OTT @ ANA
3 - 4
Mar 6, 2024
OTT @ ANA
1 - 2
Key Model Drivers
Hits (L5)
+15.8% more
Ottawa: 22.6
vs
Anaheim: 19.0
Faceoff % (L5)
+10.6%
Ottawa: 55.9%
vs
Anaheim: 45.4%
Shots on Goal (L5)
+37.3% more
Anaheim: 29.5
vs
Ottawa: 21.5
Takeaways (L5)
+12.3% more
Anaheim: 5.7
vs
Ottawa: 5.1
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
OTT Score
4.0
3
ANA Score
2.0
2
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
15.2 / 14.9
20.0 / 11.0
Faceoff %
45.4 / 55.9
45.9 / 54.1
Hits
19.0 / 22.6
24.0 / 29.0
Power Play %
14.7 / 12.5
0.0 / 33.3
Shots on Goal
29.5 / 21.5
25.0 / 25.0
Takeaways
5.7 / 5.1
5.0 / 2.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
ANA
OTT
ANA
OTT
ML
33%
1-2
0%
0-3
67%
2-1
67%
2-1
ATS
33%
1-2
0%
0-3
33%
1-2
67%
2-1
TTL
33%
1-2
67%
2-1
0%
0-3
67%
2-1
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