ELON
PHOENIXELON
3-1 | Road
72
MIAMI
HURRICANESMIA
3-1 | Home
99
AI Model Win Probability
PHOENIX
100%
HURRICANES
0%
PHOENIX
--
HURRICANES
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
132.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-20.0
MIAMI
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +20.0 points (Miami)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around MIA -20.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (MIA)
ELON By 1-7 points
1.7%
ELON By 8-14 points
0.3%
MIA By 1-7 points
8.0%
MIA By 8-14 points
18.6%
AI Model Projected Score
Elon
56
ELON
Miami
76
MIAMI
Simulated Score
Elon
65
ELON
Miami
78
MIAMI
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Hurricanes
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Hurricanes
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Hurricanes (+20.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -20.0
D
Sim
Hurricanes (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -13.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u164.5
Loss
Proj Total: 132.0
D
Sim
u164.5
Win
Proj Total: 143.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Nov 20, 2025
ELON @ MIA
72 - 99
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5)
+13.2% more
Miami: 18.5
vs
Elon: 16.4
Blocks (L5)
+8.5% more
Miami: 4.2
vs
Elon: 3.9
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+7.7%
Elon: 40.2%
vs
Miami: 32.6%
Free Throw % (L5)
+6.0%
Elon: 72.0%
vs
Miami: 66.0%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
ELON Score
56.0
72
MIA Score
76.0
99
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
32.6 / 40.2
38.0 / 48.0
Assists
18.5 / 16.4
18.0 / 15.0
Blocks
4.2 / 3.9
2.0 / 3.0
Field Goal %
46.7 / 47.7
54.0 / 51.0
Free Throw %
66.0 / 72.0
70.0 / 56.0
Rebounding
39.9 / 37.9
38.0 / 22.0
Steals
8.4 / 8.2
14.0 / 3.0
Turnovers
10.6 / 10.9
10.0 / 18.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
ELON
14-18-0
(43.8%)
Margin: 0.3
ATS +/-: -1.1
MIA
Advantage
26-9-0
(74.3%)
Margin: 10.3
ATS +/-: +1.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
ELON
11-19-0
(36.7%)
Margin: 0.3
ATS +/-: -1.1
MIA
Advantage
18-15-1
(54.6%)
Margin: 10.3
ATS +/-: +1.3
⚖️ Over/Under
ELON
16-14-0
O: 53.3% / U: 46.7%
Total +/-: +1.9
MIA
21-12-1
O: 63.6% / U: 36.4%
Total +/-: +0.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
MIA
ELON
MIA
ELON
ML
63%
22-13
61%
19-12
64%
21-12
71%
22-9
ATS
63%
22-13
55%
17-14
64%
21-12
71%
22-9
TTL
63%
22-13
52%
16-15
100%
33-0
100%
31-0
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