UNC GREENSBORO
SPARTANSUNCG
0-4 | Road
94
QUEENS UNIVERSITY
ROYALSQUC
2-3 | Home
101
AI Model Win Probability
SPARTANS
0%
ROYALS
100%
SPARTANS
--
ROYALS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
164.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-14.0
UNC GREENSBORO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +14.0 points (UNC Greensboro)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around UNCG -14.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (UNCG)
UNCG By 1-7 points
16.9%
UNCG By 8-14 points
26.2%
QUC By 1-7 points
5.8%
QUC By 8-14 points
1.4%
AI Model Projected Score
UNC Greensboro
89
UNC GREENSBORO
Queens University
75
QUEENS UNIVERSITY
Simulated Score
UNC Greensboro
68
UNC GREENSBORO
Queens University
72
QUEENS UNIVERSITY
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Spartans
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Royals
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Spartans (+7.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -14.0
D
Sim
Royals (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o151.5
Win
Proj Total: 164.0
D
Sim
u151.5
Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Nov 20, 2025
UNCG @ QUC
94 - 101
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+142.6% more
Queens University: 4.6
vs
UNC Greensboro: 1.9
Steals (L5)
+64.9% more
Queens University: 6.4
vs
UNC Greensboro: 3.9
Assists (L5)
+30.8% more
Queens University: 16.0
vs
UNC Greensboro: 12.2
Turnovers (L5)
+21.4% more
Queens University: 15.4
vs
UNC Greensboro: 12.7
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
UNCG Score
89.0
94
QUC Score
75.0
101
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
38.1 / 30.8
47.0 / 35.0
Assists
16.0 / 12.2
19.0 / 8.0
Blocks
4.6 / 1.9
3.0 / 1.0
Field Goal %
47.2 / 39.4
53.0 / 56.0
Free Throw %
77.4 / 64.3
87.0 / 67.0
Rebounding
36.5 / 35.0
36.0 / 27.0
Steals
6.4 / 3.9
1.0 / 4.0
Turnovers
15.4 / 12.7
6.0 / 4.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
UNCG
15-19-0
(44.1%)
Margin: -1.9
ATS +/-: -1.0
QUC
Advantage
21-14-0
(60.0%)
Margin: 0.9
ATS +/-: +0.6
🎯 ATS (Spread)
UNCG
Advantage
14-18-0
(43.8%)
Margin: -1.9
ATS +/-: -1.0
QUC
14-19-1
(42.4%)
Margin: 0.9
ATS +/-: +0.6
⚖️ Over/Under
UNCG
22-10-0
O: 68.8% / U: 31.3%
Total +/-: +7.9
QUC
22-12-0
O: 64.7% / U: 35.3%
Total +/-: +5.9
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
QUC
UNCG
QUC
UNCG
ML
71%
25-10
38%
13-21
71%
24-10
71%
24-10
ATS
86%
30-5
44%
15-19
71%
24-10
71%
24-10
TTL
47%
16-18-1
76%
26-8
100%
34-0
100%
34-0
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