WESTERN MICHIGAN
BRONCOSWMU
2-4 | Road
58
OHIO STATE
BUCKEYESOSU
5-0 | Home
91
AI Model Win Probability
BRONCOS
100%
BUCKEYES
0%
BRONCOS
--
BUCKEYES
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
91.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-19.0
OHIO STATE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +19.0 points (Ohio State)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around OSU -19.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (OSU)
WMU By 1-7 points
2.2%
WMU By 8-14 points
0.4%
OSU By 1-7 points
9.3%
OSU By 8-14 points
20.1%
AI Model Projected Score
Western Michigan
36
WESTERN MICHIGAN
Ohio State
55
OHIO STATE
Simulated Score
Western Michigan
62
WESTERN MICHIGAN
Ohio State
85
OHIO STATE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Buckeyes
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Buckeyes
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Buckeyes (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -19.0
D
Sim
Buckeyes (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -23.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 91.0
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 147.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Nov 20, 2025
WMU @ OSU
58 - 91
Nov 19, 2023
WMU @ OSU
56 - 73
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+35.2% more
Ohio State: 5.3
vs
Western Michigan: 4.0
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+3.1%
Ohio State: 34.0%
vs
Western Michigan: 30.9%
Free Throw % (L5)
+2.8%
Ohio State: 78.5%
vs
Western Michigan: 75.6%
Blocks (L5)
+35.3% more
Western Michigan: 3.3
vs
Ohio State: 2.1
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
WMU Score
36.0
58
OSU Score
55.0
91
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
34.0 / 30.9
31.0 / 23.0
Assists
15.0 / 14.5
22.0 / 9.0
Blocks
2.1 / 3.3
2.0 / 0.0
Field Goal %
46.5 / 47.2
49.0 / 34.0
Free Throw %
78.5 / 75.6
78.0 / 73.0
Rebounding
33.6 / 42.1
49.0 / 30.0
Steals
5.3 / 4.0
9.0 / 7.0
Turnovers
10.7 / 15.1
12.0 / 16.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
WMU
10-21-0
(32.3%)
Margin: -4.7
ATS +/-: +1.1
OSU
Advantage
21-13-0
(61.8%)
Margin: 6.7
ATS +/-: +1.8
🎯 ATS (Spread)
WMU
Advantage
16-13-0
(55.2%)
Margin: -4.7
ATS +/-: +1.1
OSU
17-16-1
(51.5%)
Margin: 6.7
ATS +/-: +1.8
⚖️ Over/Under
WMU
18-11-0
O: 62.1% / U: 37.9%
Total +/-: +1.3
OSU
16-18-0
O: 47.1% / U: 52.9%
Total +/-: -1.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
OSU
WMU
OSU
WMU
ML
53%
18-16
60%
18-12
73%
24-9
70%
21-9
ATS
59%
20-14
67%
20-10
73%
24-9
70%
21-9
TTL
56%
19-15
57%
17-13
100%
33-0
100%
30-0
Contextual Game News
CareSource Invitational Turns Tennis Center into Basketball Show…
Iowa Men's Basketball Unveils Big Ten Slate: Road Opener at Purd…
Ohio State's NBA Pipeline: Three Buckeyes Prospects to Watch in …
Arch Manning's Redemption: Texas Stuns Ohio State with Historic …
Big Ten Silence Fuels Outrage Over Controversial Replay Call in …