Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Golden Eagles @ Sooners ORU @ OU

ORAL ROBERTS

GOLDEN EAGLESORU

2-4  |  Road

71
FINAL
Thu, Nov 20 • 8:00 PM ET
Lloyd Noble Center
View Odds Details →

OKLAHOMA

SOONERSOU

3-2  |  Home

95
AI Model Win Probability
GOLDEN EAGLES
100%
📊
SOONERS
0%
GOLDEN EAGLES --
SOONERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
142.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-10.0
OKLAHOMA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +10.0 points (Oklahoma)
Golden EaglesORU (-3.5) 0 SoonersOU (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Golden Eagles Cover

15.9%

Sooners Cover

84.1%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around OU -10.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (OU)

ORU By 1-7 points

10.7%

ORU By 8-14 points

3.3%

OU By 1-7 points

23.0%

OU By 8-14 points

27.2%

AI Model Projected Score
66
ORAL ROBERTS
76
OKLAHOMA
Simulated Score
65
ORAL ROBERTS
82
OKLAHOMA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Sooners Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Sooners Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Sooners (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -10.0
D
Sim Sooners (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -17.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 142.0
D
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 147.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 20, 2025 ORU @ OU 71 - 95
Dec 16, 2020 ORU @ OU 65 - 79
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5) +30.4% more
Oklahoma: 14.7 vs Oral Roberts: 11.3
Free Throw % (L5) +7.5%
Oklahoma: 82.8% vs Oral Roberts: 75.3%
Field Goal % (L5) +7.3%
Oklahoma: 48.1% vs Oral Roberts: 40.8%
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +4.1%
Oklahoma: 34.3% vs Oral Roberts: 30.3%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
ORU Score 66.0 71
OU Score 76.0 95
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 34.3 / 30.3 38.0 / 35.0
Assists 14.7 / 11.3 16.0 / 14.0
Blocks 2.9 / 4.6 4.0 / 2.0
Field Goal % 48.1 / 40.8 51.0 / 43.0
Free Throw % 82.8 / 75.3 70.0 / 80.0
Rebounding 35.9 / 37.6 34.0 / 38.0
Steals 6.0 / 8.4 13.0 / 2.0
Turnovers 10.9 / 14.6 3.0 / 18.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
4%TICKETS96%
11%MONEY89%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
37%TICKETS63%
10%MONEY90%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
39%TICKETS61%
59%MONEY41%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
ORU
10-23-0 (30.3%)
Margin: -4.2 ATS +/-: -1.1
OU Advantage
21-16-0 (56.8%)
Margin: 5.5 ATS +/-: +0.9
🎯 ATS (Spread)
ORU
14-16-0 (46.7%)
Margin: -4.2 ATS +/-: -1.1
OU Advantage
17-19-1 (47.2%)
Margin: 5.5 ATS +/-: +0.9
⚖️ Over/Under
ORU
14-15-1
O: 48.3% / U: 51.7% Total +/-: -0.7
OU
19-18-0
O: 51.3% / U: 48.7% Total +/-: +1.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
OU
ORU
OU
ORU
ML
78% 28-8
85% 28-5
59% 20-14
73% 24-9
ATS
72% 26-10
82% 27-6
59% 20-14
73% 24-9
TTL
75% 27-9
61% 20-13
100% 34-0
100% 33-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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