Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Mustangs @ Utes CP @ UTAH

CAL POLY

MUSTANGSCP

2-3  |  Road

92
FINAL
Thu, Nov 20 • 9:00 PM ET
Jon M. Huntsman Center
View Odds Details →

UTAH

UTESUTAH

5-0  |  Home

85
AI Model Win Probability
MUSTANGS
100%
📊
UTES
0%
MUSTANGS --
UTES --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
133.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-69.0
UTAH
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +69.0 points (Utah)
MustangsCP (-3.5) 0 UtesUTAH (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Mustangs Cover

0.0%

Utes Cover

100.0%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around UTAH -69.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (UTAH)

CP By 1-7 points

0.0%

CP By 8-14 points

0.0%

UTAH By 1-7 points

0.0%

UTAH By 8-14 points

0.0%

AI Model Projected Score
32
CAL POLY
101
UTAH
Simulated Score
59
CAL POLY
83
UTAH
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Utes Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Utes Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Utes (+14) Win
Proj Spread: -69.0
D
Sim Utes (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -24.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u167.5 Loss
Proj Total: 133.0
D
Sim u167.5 Win
Proj Total: 142.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 20, 2025 CP @ UTAH 92 - 85
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +74.1% more
Utah: 4.2 vs Cal Poly: 2.4
Assists (L5) +17.5% more
Utah: 15.3 vs Cal Poly: 13.0
Free Throw % (L5) +6.1%
Utah: 75.3% vs Cal Poly: 69.2%
Field Goal % (L5) +4.6%
Utah: 47.5% vs Cal Poly: 42.9%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
CP Score 32.0 92
UTAH Score 101.0 85
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 35.1 / 35.8 33.0 / 56.0
Assists 15.3 / 13.0 18.0 / 13.0
Blocks 4.2 / 2.4 5.0 / 5.0
Field Goal % 47.5 / 42.9 46.0 / 50.0
Free Throw % 75.3 / 69.2 82.0 / 58.0
Rebounding 40.0 / 39.5 32.0 / 42.0
Steals 6.4 / 6.7 7.0 / 8.0
Turnovers 11.4 / 14.9 16.0 / 19.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
4%TICKETS96%
26%MONEY74%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
37%TICKETS63%
50%MONEY50%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
31%TICKETS69%
54%MONEY46%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CP Advantage
14-19-0 (42.4%)
Margin: -2.9 ATS +/-: +1.3
UTAH
10-22-0 (31.3%)
Margin: -4.8 ATS +/-: -0.6
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CP Advantage
16-14-1 (53.3%)
Margin: -2.9 ATS +/-: +1.3
UTAH
15-17-0 (46.9%)
Margin: -4.8 ATS +/-: -0.6
⚖️ Over/Under
CP
17-14-0
O: 54.8% / U: 45.2% Total +/-: +0.8
UTAH
18-14-0
O: 56.3% / U: 43.8% Total +/-: -0.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
UTAH
CP
UTAH
CP
ML
56% 18-14
58% 19-14
67% 20-10
58% 19-14
ATS
56% 18-14
64% 21-12
67% 20-10
58% 19-14
TTL
41% 13-19
61% 20-13
100% 30-0
100% 33-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
Contextual Game News
Kansas Shakes Up Offensive Line: Amir Herring Promoted to Starti…
si 2 days, 6 hours ago
Kentucky Appeals Court Ruling Shakes Up Eligibility for Mark Mit…
cbssports 6 days ago
Rutgers Basketball Preseason: Standouts and Storylines from Tues…
yahoo 1 week, 1 day ago
How the Bruins Stunned the Rangers with a Late Third-Period Outb…
headtopics 1 week, 1 day ago
Ryan Smith Vows Major Estate Gift to BYU, Calls College Sports '…
yahoo 1 week, 2 days ago