Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Screaming Eagles @ Cardinals USI @ UIW

SOUTHERN INDIANA

SCREAMING EAGLESUSI

1-3  |  Road

81
FINAL
Thu, Nov 20 • 12:30 PM ET
Ocean Center
View Odds Details →

INCARNATE WORD

CARDINALSUIW

2-2  |  Home

87
AI Model Win Probability
SCREAMING EAGLES
100%
📊
CARDINALS
0%
SCREAMING EAGLES --
CARDINALS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
124.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-4.0
INCARNATE WORD
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +4.0 points (Incarnate Word)
Screaming EaglesUSI (-3.5) 0 CardinalsUIW (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Screaming Eagles Cover

34.5%

Cardinals Cover

65.5%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around UIW -4.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (UIW)

USI By 1-7 points

20.1%

USI By 8-14 points

9.3%

UIW By 1-7 points

27.4%

UIW By 8-14 points

21.6%

AI Model Projected Score
60
SOUTHERN INDIANA
64
INCARNATE WORD
Simulated Score
70
SOUTHERN INDIANA
75
INCARNATE WORD
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Cardinals Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Cardinals Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Cardinals (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Sim Cardinals (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 124.0
D
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 145.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 20, 2025 USI @ UIW 81 - 87
Key Model Drivers
Free Throw % (L5) +6.0%
Incarnate Word: 72.7% vs Southern Indiana: 66.7%
Field Goal % (L5) +4.1%
Incarnate Word: 45.5% vs Southern Indiana: 41.4%
Turnovers (L5) +35.8% more
Southern Indiana: 14.7 vs Incarnate Word: 9.5
Blocks (L5) +35.4% more
Southern Indiana: 4.4 vs Incarnate Word: 2.8
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
USI Score 60.0 81
UIW Score 64.0 87
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 38.7 / 37.9 40.0 / 24.0
Assists 13.4 / 12.4 12.0 / 11.0
Blocks 2.8 / 4.4 2.0 / 0.0
Field Goal % 45.5 / 41.4 54.0 / 49.0
Free Throw % 72.7 / 66.7 66.0 / 76.0
Rebounding 38.8 / 39.2 38.0 / 27.0
Steals 6.5 / 7.7 3.0 / 4.0
Turnovers 9.5 / 14.7 10.0 / 10.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
10%TICKETS90%
22%MONEY78%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
43%TICKETS57%
39%MONEY61%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
63%TICKETS37%
82%MONEY18%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
USI
7-23-0 (23.3%)
Margin: -5.0 ATS +/-: -1.3
UIW Advantage
12-19-0 (38.7%)
Margin: 0.5 ATS +/-: -2.0
🎯 ATS (Spread)
USI Advantage
11-16-1 (40.7%)
Margin: -5.0 ATS +/-: -1.3
UIW
10-18-0 (35.7%)
Margin: 0.5 ATS +/-: -2.0
⚖️ Over/Under
USI
11-17-0
O: 39.3% / U: 60.7% Total +/-: -3.3
UIW
14-14-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0% Total +/-: +1.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
UIW
USI
UIW
USI
ML
47% 14-16
67% 20-10
76% 22-7
61% 17-11
ATS
53% 16-14
70% 21-9
77% 23-7
61% 17-11
TTL
60% 18-12
73% 22-8
100% 30-0
100% 28-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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