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ROBERT MORRIS

COLONIALSRMU

3-1  |  Road

61
FINAL
Thu, Nov 20 • 6:00 PM ET
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ST. BONAVENTURE

BONNIESSBU

4-0  |  Home

75
AI Model Win Probability
COLONIALS
0%
📊
BONNIES
100%
COLONIALS --
BONNIES --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
156.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+6.0
ST. BONAVENTURE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
ColonialsRMU (-3.5) 0 BonniesSBU (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Colonials Cover

27.4%

Bonnies Cover

72.6%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around SBU +6.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (SBU)

RMU By 1-7 points

26.8%

RMU By 8-14 points

24.3%

SBU By 1-7 points

16.9%

SBU By 8-14 points

6.8%

AI Model Projected Score
81
ROBERT MORRIS
75
ST. BONAVENTURE
Simulated Score
63
ROBERT MORRIS
75
ST. BONAVENTURE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Colonials Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Bonnies Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Bonnies (+12) Win
Proj Spread: +6.0
D
Sim Bonnies (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -12.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o146.5 Loss
Proj Total: 156.0
D
Sim u146.5 Win
Proj Total: 138.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 20, 2025 RMU @ SBU 61 - 75
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5) +26.4% more
Robert Morris: 18.5 vs St. Bonaventure: 13.6
Rebounding (L5) +23.0% more
Robert Morris: 44.8 vs St. Bonaventure: 34.5
Turnovers (L5) +16.0% more
Robert Morris: 14.3 vs St. Bonaventure: 12.1
Blocks (L5) +8.4% more
Robert Morris: 4.4 vs St. Bonaventure: 4.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
RMU Score 81.0 61
SBU Score 75.0 75
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 37.8 / 29.4 37.0 / 22.0
Assists 13.6 / 18.5 21.0 / 15.0
Blocks 4.0 / 4.4 8.0 / 0.0
Field Goal % 49.8 / 48.4 44.0 / 36.0
Free Throw % 70.5 / 70.9 82.0 / 92.0
Rebounding 34.5 / 44.8 42.0 / 34.0
Steals 7.4 / 7.1 8.0 / 9.0
Turnovers 12.1 / 14.3 14.0 / 15.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
6%TICKETS94%
11%MONEY89%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
42%TICKETS58%
9%MONEY91%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
69%TICKETS31%
74%MONEY26%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
RMU Advantage
22-11-0 (66.7%)
Margin: 5.3 ATS +/-: +2.5
SBU
17-17-0 (50.0%)
Margin: 1.9 ATS +/-: -2.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
RMU Advantage
19-11-1 (63.3%)
Margin: 5.3 ATS +/-: +2.5
SBU
13-20-0 (39.4%)
Margin: 1.9 ATS +/-: -2.3
⚖️ Over/Under
RMU
17-14-0
O: 54.8% / U: 45.2% Total +/-: +1.1
SBU
20-13-0
O: 60.6% / U: 39.4% Total +/-: +5.1
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
SBU
RMU
SBU
RMU
ML
59% 20-14
36% 12-21
61% 20-13
56% 18-14
ATS
50% 17-17
55% 18-15
61% 20-13
56% 18-14
TTL
38% 13-21
55% 18-15
100% 33-0
100% 32-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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