NORTHERN KENTUCKY
NORSENKU
2-2 | Road
90
CENTRAL MICHIGAN
CHIPPEWASCMU
2-2 | Home
66
AI Model Win Probability
NORSE
100%
CHIPPEWAS
0%
NORSE
--
CHIPPEWAS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
158.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-12.0
CENTRAL MICHIGAN
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +12.0 points (Central Michigan)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around CMU -12.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CMU)
NKU By 1-7 points
8.0%
NKU By 8-14 points
2.2%
CMU By 1-7 points
20.1%
CMU By 8-14 points
27.2%
AI Model Projected Score
Northern Kentucky
73
NORTHERN KENTUCKY
Central Michigan
85
CENTRAL MICHIGAN
Simulated Score
Northern Kentucky
68
NORTHERN KENTUCKY
Central Michigan
73
CENTRAL MICHIGAN
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Chippewas
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Chippewas
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Chippewas (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -12.0
D
Sim
Chippewas (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 158.0
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 141.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Nov 20, 2025
NKU @ CMU
90 - 66
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+178.5% more
Central Michigan: 5.7
vs
Northern Kentucky: 2.1
Rebounding (L5)
+12.3% more
Central Michigan: 40.3
vs
Northern Kentucky: 35.9
Free Throw % (L5)
+11.4%
Central Michigan: 72.3%
vs
Northern Kentucky: 60.9%
Steals (L5)
+54.8% more
Northern Kentucky: 11.1
vs
Central Michigan: 5.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
NKU Score
73.0
90
CMU Score
85.0
66
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
31.8 / 37.3
29.0 / 48.0
Assists
13.0 / 15.9
17.0 / 26.0
Blocks
5.7 / 2.1
3.0 / 3.0
Field Goal %
43.1 / 48.2
47.0 / 53.0
Free Throw %
72.3 / 60.9
61.0 / 69.0
Rebounding
40.3 / 35.9
32.0 / 32.0
Steals
5.0 / 11.1
3.0 / 14.0
Turnovers
11.9 / 13.3
19.0 / 11.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
NKU
Advantage
20-14-0
(58.8%)
Margin: 5.7
ATS +/-: -0.5
CMU
10-21-0
(32.3%)
Margin: -3.5
ATS +/-: +1.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
NKU
13-18-0
(41.9%)
Margin: 5.7
ATS +/-: -0.5
CMU
Advantage
15-13-1
(53.6%)
Margin: -3.5
ATS +/-: +1.4
⚖️ Over/Under
NKU
21-10-0
O: 67.7% / U: 32.3%
Total +/-: +5.4
CMU
13-16-0
O: 44.8% / U: 55.2%
Total +/-: +0.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CMU
NKU
CMU
NKU
ML
57%
17-13
53%
18-16
70%
21-9
65%
22-12
ATS
67%
20-10
56%
19-15
70%
21-9
65%
22-12
TTL
67%
20-10
68%
23-11
100%
30-0
100%
34-0
Contextual Game News
