NEW YORK
ISLANDERSNYI
11-7-2 | Road
5
DETROIT
RED WINGSDET
12-7-1 | Home
0
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Ilya Sorokin
#30 | Goaltender@
GOALTENDER
John Gibson
#36 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ilya Sorokin | None-None | 0.00 | 1.000 | 1 |
| John Gibson | None-None | 5.00 | 0.808 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
0.00 Ldr
GAA
5.00
1.000 Ldr
Save %
0.808
1 Ldr
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
ISLANDERS
100%
RED WINGS
0%
ISLANDERS
--
RED WINGS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
7.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
DETROIT
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Detroit)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around DET -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (DET)
NYI By 1 goal
12.1%
NYI By 2-3 goals
9.3%
DET By 1 goal
19.7%
DET By 2-3 goals
29.6%
AI Model Projected Score
New York
3
NEW YORK
Detroit
4
DETROIT
Simulated Score
New York
2
NEW YORK
Detroit
3
DETROIT
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Red Wings
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Red Wings
Loss
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Red Wings (+1.5)
Loss
Proj Goals: -1.0
D
Sim
Red Wings (+0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -1.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o6.0
Loss
Proj Total: 7.0
D
Sim
u6.0
Win
Proj Total: 5.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Dec 16, 2025
NYI @ DET
2 - 3
Nov 20, 2025
NYI @ DET
5 - 0
Oct 23, 2025
DET @ NYI
2 - 7
Nov 25, 2024
DET @ NYI
4 - 2
Nov 21, 2024
NYI @ DET
1 - 2
Key Model Drivers
Hits (L5)
+38.3% more
Detroit: 20.6
vs
New York: 14.9
Shots on Goal (L5)
+32.4% more
Detroit: 32.6
vs
New York: 24.6
Power Play % (L5)
+18.6%
Detroit: 30.3%
vs
New York: 11.7%
Faceoff % (L5)
+4.8%
Detroit: 54.4%
vs
New York: 49.7%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
NYI Score
3.0
5
DET Score
4.0
0
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
13.8 / 14.7
14.0 / 15.0
Faceoff %
54.4 / 49.7
58.1 / 41.9
Hits
20.6 / 14.9
23.0 / 8.0
Power Play %
3029.0 / 1165.0
0.0 / 0.0
Shots on Goal
32.6 / 24.6
29.0 / 26.0
Takeaways
4.2 / 5.1
2.0 / 4.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
DET
NYI
DET
NYI
ML
67%
2-1
75%
3-1
33%
1-2
50%
2-2
ATS
33%
1-2
50%
2-2
67%
2-1
25%
1-3
TTL
0%
0-3
67%
2-1-1
33%
1-2
100%
3-0-1
Contextual Game News
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Canadiens Accused of Showcasing Kirby Dach as Trade Rumors Swirl
Islanders' Blue Line Shake-Up: Three Defenders Who Must Elevate …
Dylan Larkin Scores in Return to Red Wings Lineup Amid Trade Req…
Islanders Lock Up Czech Blueliner Vladimir Dravecky with Three-Y…