VEGAS
GOLDEN KNIGHTSVGK
9-4-6 | Road
4
UTAH
MAMMOTHUTA
10-7-3 | Home
1
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Shea Theodore
#27 | Defense@
GOALTENDER
Karel Vejmelka
#70 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shea Theodore | None-None | -- | -- | -- |
| Karel Vejmelka | None-None | 4.00 | 0.879 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
--
GAA
4.00
--
Save %
0.879
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
GOLDEN KNIGHTS
100%
MAMMOTH
0%
GOLDEN KNIGHTS
--
MAMMOTH
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
7.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
UTAH
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Utah)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around UTA -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (UTA)
VGK By 1 goal
12.1%
VGK By 2-3 goals
9.3%
UTA By 1 goal
19.7%
UTA By 2-3 goals
29.6%
AI Model Projected Score
Vegas
3
VEGAS
Utah
4
UTAH
Simulated Score
Vegas
2
VEGAS
Utah
3
UTAH
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Mammoth
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Mammoth
Loss
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Mammoth (+1.5)
Loss
Proj Goals: -1.0
D
Sim
Mammoth (+0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -1.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o6.0
Loss
Proj Total: 7.0
D
Sim
u6.0
Win
Proj Total: 5.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Apr 29, 2026
UTA @ VGK
4 - 5
Apr 24, 2026
VGK @ UTA
2 - 4
Mar 19, 2026
UTA @ VGK
4 - 0
Nov 24, 2025
VGK @ UTA
1 - 5
Nov 20, 2025
VGK @ UTA
4 - 1
Key Model Drivers
Takeaways (L5)
+17.7% more
Utah: 5.0
vs
Vegas: 4.2
Power Play % (L5)
+48.3%
Vegas: 51.5%
vs
Utah: 3.3%
Hits (L5)
+15.9% more
Vegas: 17.7
vs
Utah: 14.9
Blocked Shots (L5)
+9.5% more
Vegas: 13.8
vs
Utah: 12.5
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
VGK Score
3.0
4
UTA Score
4.0
1
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
12.5 / 13.8
9.0 / 16.0
Faceoff %
48.0 / 48.3
44.1 / 55.9
Hits
14.9 / 17.7
24.0 / 19.0
Power Play %
328.0 / 5153.0
0.0 / 0.0
Shots on Goal
26.5 / 28.6
26.0 / 33.0
Takeaways
5.0 / 4.2
4.0 / 6.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
UTA
VGK
UTA
VGK
ML
60%
3-2
75%
3-1
60%
3-2
50%
2-2
ATS
60%
3-2
50%
2-2
60%
3-2
75%
3-1
TTL
60%
3-2
25%
1-3
80%
4-1
50%
2-2
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