DALLAS
STARSDAL
12-5-3 | Road
4
VANCOUVER
CANUCKSVAN
9-10-2 | Home
2
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Jake Oettinger
#29 | Goaltender@
GOALTENDER
Kevin Lankinen
#32 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jake Oettinger | None-None | 2.00 | 0.944 | -- |
| Kevin Lankinen | None-None | 4.10 | 0.833 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
2.00 Ldr
GAA
4.10
0.944 Ldr
Save %
0.833
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
STARS
0%
CANUCKS
100%
STARS
--
CANUCKS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
5.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+1.0
VANCOUVER
Book Spread
--
Book Line
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-6-4-20+2+4+6
Distribution centered around VAN +1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (VAN)
DAL By 1 goal
19.7%
DAL By 2-3 goals
29.6%
VAN By 1 goal
12.1%
VAN By 2-3 goals
9.3%
AI Model Projected Score
Dallas
3
DALLAS
Vancouver
2
VANCOUVER
Simulated Score
Dallas
2
DALLAS
Vancouver
3
VANCOUVER
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Stars
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Canucks
Loss
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Canucks (+1.5)
Win
Proj Goals: +1.0
D
Sim
Canucks (+0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -1.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u6.5
Win
Proj Total: 5.0
D
Sim
u6.5
Win
Proj Total: 5.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 2, 2026
DAL @ VAN
6 - 1
Nov 20, 2025
DAL @ VAN
4 - 2
Oct 16, 2025
VAN @ DAL
5 - 3
Apr 8, 2025
VAN @ DAL
6 - 5
Mar 9, 2025
DAL @ VAN
4 - 1
Key Model Drivers
Shots on Goal (L5)
+16.4% more
Dallas: 25.1
vs
Vancouver: 21.0
Faceoff % (L5)
+7.2%
Dallas: 57.4%
vs
Vancouver: 50.2%
Blocked Shots (L5)
+57.5% more
Vancouver: 16.2
vs
Dallas: 10.3
Power Play % (L5)
+15.5%
Vancouver: 41.5%
vs
Dallas: 26.0%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
DAL Score
3.0
4
VAN Score
2.0
2
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
16.2 / 10.3
8.0 / 20.0
Faceoff %
50.2 / 57.4
61.4 / 38.6
Hits
19.4 / 18.8
24.0 / 21.0
Power Play %
41.5 / 26.0
20.0 / 0.0
Shots on Goal
21.0 / 25.1
36.0 / 24.0
Takeaways
3.7 / 3.2
5.0 / 5.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
VAN
DAL
VAN
DAL
ML
50%
2-2
33%
1-2
25%
1-3
33%
1-2
ATS
25%
1-3
0%
0-3
50%
2-2
33%
1-2
TTL
50%
2-2
100%
3-0
50%
2-2
33%
1-2
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