Home / NFL Projections NFL / Giants @ Lions NYG @ DET

NEW YORK

GIANTSNYG

2-9  |  Road

27
FINAL
Sun, Nov 23 • 1:00 PM ET
Ford Field
View Odds Details →

DETROIT

LIONSDET

6-4  |  Home

34
Key Game
DJ Reader
KEY GAME

DJ Reader

#98 | Defensive Tackle
@
Jack Fox
KEY GAME

Jack Fox

#3 | Punter
Player
DJ Reader None-None
Jack Fox None-None
None-None W-L None-None
AI Model Win Probability
GIANTS
100%
📊
LIONS
0%
GIANTS --
LIONS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
51.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-11.0
DETROIT
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +11.0 points (Detroit)
GiantsNYG (-3.5) 0 LionsDET (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Giants Cover

21.6%

Lions Cover

78.4%

+42+28+140-14-28-42
Distribution centered around DET -11.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (DET)

NYG By 1-6 points

10.0%

NYG By 7-13 points

6.6%

DET By 1-6 points

14.7%

DET By 7-13 points

19.7%

AI Model Projected Score
20
NEW YORK
31
DETROIT
Simulated Score
24
NEW YORK
27
DETROIT
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Lions Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Lions Win
50% Win Prob
C
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Lions (+14) Win
Proj Spread: -11.0
D
Sim Lions (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -3.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o50.5 Win
Proj Total: 51.0
D
Sim u50.5 Win
Proj Total: 51.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 23, 2025 NYG @ DET 27 - 34
Nov 20, 2022 DET @ NYG 31 - 18
Oct 27, 2019 NYG @ DET 26 - 31
Sep 18, 2017 DET @ NYG 24 - 10
Dec 18, 2016 DET @ NYG 6 - 17
Key Model Drivers
Net Passing Yards (L5) +20.7% more
Detroit: 252.9 vs New York: 209.5
Yards Per Play (L5) +13.2% more
Detroit: 6.0 vs New York: 5.3
Total Yards (L5) +9.7% more
Detroit: 378.4 vs New York: 344.8
Turnovers (L5) +30.4% more
New York: 1.2 vs Detroit: 0.8
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
NYG Score 20.0 27
DET Score 31.0 34
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
First Downs 19.0 / 20.7 23.0 / 25.0
Net Passing Yards 252.9 / 209.5 257.0 / 395.0
Rushing Yards 125.5 / 135.3 237.0 / 122.0
Third Down Efficiency 0.3 / 0.4 0.42 / 0.5
Time of Possession 0.5 / 0.5 0.43 / 0.57
Total Yards 378.4 / 344.8 494.0 / 517.0
Turnovers 0.8 / 1.2 1.0 / 1.0
Yards Per Play 6.0 / 5.3 7.6 / 6.7
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
7%TICKETS93%
14%MONEY86%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
30%TICKETS70%
23%MONEY77%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
62%TICKETS38%
68%MONEY32%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
NYG Advantage
3-1-0 (75.0%)
Margin: 0.8 ATS +/-: +3.1
DET
2-2-0 (50.0%)
Margin: -2.0 ATS +/-: -5.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
NYG Advantage
3-1-0 (75.0%)
Margin: 0.8 ATS +/-: +3.1
DET
0-3-1 (0.0%)
Margin: -2.0 ATS +/-: -5.3
⚖️ Over/Under
NYG
2-2-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0% Total +/-: -3.8
DET
4-0-0
O: 100.0% / U: 0.0% Total +/-: +10.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
DET
NYG
DET
NYG
ML
75% 3-1
75% 3-1
50% 2-2
100% 4-0
ATS
33% 1-2-1
100% 4-0
67% 2-1-1
100% 4-0
TTL
25% 1-3
75% 3-1
25% 1-3
25% 1-3
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
Contextual Game News
Commanders Roll Dice: Jayden Daniels to Start vs. Giants Despite…
newsweek 7 hours, 26 minutes ago
Jayden Daniels Returns to Full Practice as Commanders Grapple wi…
headtopics 19 hours, 43 minutes ago
Cardinals Week 5 Injury Report: Jeremiyah Love Limited; Paris Jo…
yahoo 19 hours, 50 minutes ago
Brian Branch's Return to Practice Could Be the Spark Detroit's D…
yahoo 19 hours, 59 minutes ago
Malik Nabers Discusses Knee Injury After Missing Giants Practice…
bleacherreport 1 day, 1 hour ago