Key Game
KEY GAME
Michael Dickson
#4 | Punter@
KEY GAME
Joey Slye
#6 | Place kicker| Player | |
|---|---|
| Michael Dickson | None-None |
| Joey Slye | None-None |
None-None
W-L
None-None
AI Model Win Probability
SEAHAWKS
0%
TITANS
100%
SEAHAWKS
--
TITANS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
41.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-15.0
SEATTLE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +15.0 points (Seattle)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-42-28-140+14+28+42
Distribution centered around SEA -15.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (SEA)
SEA By 1-6 points
12.2%
SEA By 7-13 points
18.5%
TEN By 1-6 points
7.2%
TEN By 7-13 points
4.1%
AI Model Projected Score
Seattle
28
SEATTLE
Tennessee
13
TENNESSEE
Simulated Score
Seattle
20
SEATTLE
Tennessee
24
TENNESSEE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Seahawks
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Titans
Loss
50% Win Prob
C
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Seahawks (+13.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -15.0
D
Sim
Titans (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -4.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u41.5
Loss
Proj Total: 41.0
D
Sim
u41.5
Win
Proj Total: 44.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Nov 23, 2025
SEA @ TEN
30 - 24
Dec 24, 2023
SEA @ TEN
20 - 17
Sep 19, 2021
TEN @ SEA
33 - 30
Sep 24, 2017
SEA @ TEN
27 - 33
Oct 13, 2013
TEN @ SEA
13 - 20
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5)
+60.6% more
Seattle: 2.7
vs
Tennessee: 1.1
Rushing Yards (L5)
+43.7% more
Seattle: 133.4
vs
Tennessee: 75.1
Total Yards (L5)
+36.0% more
Seattle: 386.9
vs
Tennessee: 247.6
First Downs (L5)
+34.5% more
Seattle: 22.3
vs
Tennessee: 14.6
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
SEA Score
28.0
30
TEN Score
13.0
24
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
First Downs
14.6 / 22.3
18.0 / 19.0
Net Passing Yards
172.5 / 253.6
232.0 / 239.0
Rushing Yards
75.1 / 133.4
64.0 / 114.0
Third Down Efficiency
0.3 / 0.5
0.35 / 0.29
Time of Possession
0.5 / 0.6
0.62 / 0.38
Total Yards
247.6 / 386.9
296.0 / 353.0
Turnovers
1.1 / 2.7
0.0 / 0.0
Yards Per Play
4.5 / 6.2
4.4 / 7.5
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
SEA
Advantage
3-1-0
(75.0%)
Margin: 8.0
ATS +/-: +2.3
TEN
0-4-0
(0.0%)
Margin: -7.0
ATS +/-: -2.1
🎯 ATS (Spread)
SEA
1-1-2
(50.0%)
Margin: 8.0
ATS +/-: +2.3
TEN
2-2-0
(50.0%)
Margin: -7.0
ATS +/-: -2.1
⚖️ Over/Under
SEA
2-2-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0%
Total +/-: +2.0
TEN
1-3-0
O: 25.0% / U: 75.0%
Total +/-: -5.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
TEN
SEA
TEN
SEA
ML
75%
3-1
75%
3-1
50%
2-2
50%
2-2
ATS
50%
2-2
50%
1-1-2
75%
3-1
50%
1-1-2
TTL
25%
1-3
25%
1-3
25%
1-3
75%
3-1