Home / NFL Projections NFL / Browns @ Raiders CLE @ LV

CLEVELAND

BROWNSCLE

2-8  |  Road

24
FINAL
Sun, Nov 23 • 4:05 PM ET
Allegiant Stadium
View Odds Details →

LAS VEGAS

RAIDERSLV

2-8  |  Home

10
Key Game
Corey Bojorquez
KEY GAME

Corey Bojorquez

#13 | Punter
@
Dylan Laube
KEY GAME

Dylan Laube

#23 | Running Back
Player
Corey Bojorquez None-None
Dylan Laube None-None
None-None W-L None-None
AI Model Win Probability
BROWNS
0%
📊
RAIDERS
100%
BROWNS --
RAIDERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
47.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-7.0
CLEVELAND
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +7.0 points (Cleveland)
BrownsCLE (-3.5) 0 RaidersLV (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Browns Cover

69.1%

Raiders Cover

30.9%

-42-28-140+14+28+42
Distribution centered around CLE -7.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CLE)

CLE By 1-6 points

16.5%

CLE By 7-13 points

19.3%

LV By 1-6 points

12.9%

LV By 7-13 points

9.6%

AI Model Projected Score
27
CLEVELAND
20
LAS VEGAS
Simulated Score
20
CLEVELAND
23
LAS VEGAS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Browns Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Raiders Loss
50% Win Prob
C
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Browns (-3.5) Win
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Sim Raiders (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -3.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o36.0 Loss
Proj Total: 47.0
D
Sim u36.0 Win
Proj Total: 43.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 23, 2025 CLE @ LV 24 - 10
Sep 29, 2024 CLE @ LV 16 - 20
Dec 20, 2021 LV @ CLE 16 - 14
Nov 1, 2020 LV @ CLE 16 - 6
Sep 30, 2018 CLE @ LV 42 - 45
Key Model Drivers
Rushing Yards (L5) +47.6% more
Cleveland: 109.0 vs Las Vegas: 57.1
Net Passing Yards (L5) +47.7% more
Las Vegas: 178.6 vs Cleveland: 120.9
Turnovers (L5) +31.0% more
Las Vegas: 1.1 vs Cleveland: 0.8
Yards Per Play (L5) +8.6% more
Las Vegas: 4.2 vs Cleveland: 3.8
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
CLE Score 27.0 24
LV Score 20.0 10
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
First Downs 15.6 / 15.2 19.0 / 11.0
Net Passing Yards 178.6 / 120.9 208.0 / 206.0
Rushing Yards 57.1 / 109.0 60.0 / 64.0
Third Down Efficiency 0.3 / 0.3 0.24 / 0.25
Time of Possession 0.4 / 0.5 0.61 / 0.39
Total Yards 235.7 / 229.9 268.0 / 270.0
Turnovers 1.1 / 0.8 1.0 / 2.0
Yards Per Play 4.2 / 3.8 3.6 / 5.6
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
58%TICKETS42%
43%MONEY57%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
64%TICKETS36%
57%MONEY43%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
60%TICKETS40%
54%MONEY46%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CLE
3-1-0 (75.0%)
Margin: -3.5 ATS +/-: +2.1
LV
3-1-0 (75.0%)
Margin: 7.8 ATS +/-: +10.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CLE
3-1-0 (75.0%)
Margin: -3.5 ATS +/-: +2.1
LV Advantage
4-0-0 (100.0%)
Margin: 7.8 ATS +/-: +10.4
⚖️ Over/Under
CLE
3-1-0
O: 75.0% / U: 25.0% Total +/-: +3.6
LV
2-2-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0% Total +/-: +5.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
LV
CLE
LV
CLE
ML
50% 2-2
25% 1-3
50% 2-2
75% 3-1
ATS
25% 1-3
50% 2-2
25% 1-3
50% 2-2
TTL
25% 1-3
75% 3-1
50% 2-2
50% 2-2
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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