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PHILADELPHIA

EAGLESPHI

8-2  |  Road

21
FINAL
Sun, Nov 23 • 4:25 PM ET
AT&T Stadium
View Odds Details →

DALLAS

COWBOYSDAL

4-5-1  |  Home

24
Key Game
Braden Mann
KEY GAME

Braden Mann

#10 | Punter
@
Bryan Anger
KEY GAME

Bryan Anger

#5 | Punter
Player
Braden Mann None-None
Bryan Anger None-None
None-None W-L None-None
AI Model Win Probability
EAGLES
0%
📊
COWBOYS
100%
EAGLES --
COWBOYS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
51.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-11.0
PHILADELPHIA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +11.0 points (Philadelphia)
EaglesPHI (-3.5) 0 CowboysDAL (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Eagles Cover

78.4%

Cowboys Cover

21.6%

-42-28-140+14+28+42
Distribution centered around PHI -11.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (PHI)

PHI By 1-6 points

14.7%

PHI By 7-13 points

19.7%

DAL By 1-6 points

10.0%

DAL By 7-13 points

6.6%

AI Model Projected Score
31
PHILADELPHIA
20
DALLAS
Simulated Score
24
PHILADELPHIA
27
DALLAS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Eagles Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Cowboys Win
50% Win Prob
C
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Eagles (+3) Loss
Proj Spread: -11.0
D
Sim Cowboys (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -3.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o48.0 Loss
Proj Total: 51.0
D
Sim u48.0 Win
Proj Total: 51.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 23, 2025 PHI @ DAL 21 - 24
Sep 4, 2025 DAL @ PHI 20 - 24
Dec 29, 2024 DAL @ PHI 7 - 41
Nov 10, 2024 PHI @ DAL 34 - 6
Dec 10, 2023 PHI @ DAL 13 - 33
Key Model Drivers
Rushing Yards (L5) +14.2% more
Philadelphia: 136.5 vs Dallas: 117.1
Turnovers (L5) +104.0% more
Dallas: 1.4 vs Philadelphia: 0.4
Net Passing Yards (L5) +39.5% more
Dallas: 247.2 vs Philadelphia: 177.2
First Downs (L5) +37.0% more
Dallas: 22.6 vs Philadelphia: 16.5
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
PHI Score 31.0 21
DAL Score 20.0 24
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
First Downs 22.6 / 16.5 25.0 / 19.0
Net Passing Yards 247.2 / 177.2 348.0 / 276.0
Rushing Yards 117.1 / 136.5 125.0 / 63.0
Third Down Efficiency 0.4 / 0.3 0.42 / 0.42
Time of Possession 0.5 / 0.5 0.48 / 0.52
Total Yards 364.3 / 313.7 473.0 / 339.0
Turnovers 1.4 / 0.4 2.0 / 2.0
Yards Per Play 5.7 / 5.3 7.0 / 5.8
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
71%TICKETS29%
60%MONEY40%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
60%TICKETS40%
47%MONEY53%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
73%TICKETS27%
64%MONEY36%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
PHI
2-2-0 (50.0%)
Margin: -4.5 ATS +/-: -7.8
DAL
2-2-0 (50.0%)
Margin: 2.5 ATS +/-: +2.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
PHI
0-4-0 (0.0%)
Margin: -4.5 ATS +/-: -7.8
DAL Advantage
3-1-0 (75.0%)
Margin: 2.5 ATS +/-: +2.3
⚖️ Over/Under
PHI
3-1-0
O: 75.0% / U: 25.0% Total +/-: -0.1
DAL
4-0-0
O: 100.0% / U: 0.0% Total +/-: +8.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
DAL
PHI
DAL
PHI
ML
50% 2-2
100% 4-0
50% 2-2
75% 3-1
ATS
67% 2-1-1
25% 1-3
100% 3-0-1
75% 3-1
TTL
50% 2-2
50% 2-2
25% 1-3
75% 3-1
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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