CHICAGO
BULLSCHI
7-6 | Road
122
PORTLAND
TRAIL BLAZERSPOR
6-8 | Home
121
AI Model Win Probability
BULLS
100%
TRAIL BLAZERS
0%
BULLS
--
TRAIL BLAZERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
236.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-14.0
PORTLAND
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +14.0 points (Portland)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around POR -14.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (POR)
CHI By 1-7 points
5.8%
CHI By 8-14 points
1.4%
POR By 1-7 points
16.9%
POR By 8-14 points
26.2%
AI Model Projected Score
Chicago
111
CHICAGO
Portland
125
PORTLAND
Simulated Score
Chicago
108
CHICAGO
Portland
115
PORTLAND
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Trail Blazers
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Trail Blazers
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Trail Blazers (+3.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -14.0
D
Sim
Trail Blazers (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u243.5
Win
Proj Total: 236.0
D
Sim
u243.5
Win
Proj Total: 223.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 26, 2026
POR @ CHI
121 - 112
Nov 19, 2025
CHI @ POR
122 - 121
Apr 4, 2025
POR @ CHI
113 - 118
Jan 19, 2025
CHI @ POR
102 - 113
Mar 18, 2024
POR @ CHI
107 - 110
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5)
+18.3% more
Portland: 16.1
vs
Chicago: 13.6
Assists (L5)
+21.9% more
Chicago: 29.6
vs
Portland: 23.1
Blocks (L5)
+19.1% more
Chicago: 5.6
vs
Portland: 4.5
Rebounding (L5)
+11.7% more
Chicago: 49.8
vs
Portland: 44.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
CHI Score
111.0
122
POR Score
125.0
121
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
30.0 / 37.6
29.0 / 43.0
Assists
23.1 / 29.6
27.0 / 36.0
Blocks
4.5 / 5.6
5.0 / 9.0
Field Goal %
44.8 / 46.3
41.0 / 48.0
Free Throw %
78.2 / 79.4
66.0 / 64.0
Rebounding
44.0 / 49.8
64.0 / 38.0
Steals
6.5 / 7.3
10.0 / 10.0
Turnovers
16.1 / 13.6
16.0 / 16.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CHI
31-51-0
(37.8%)
Margin: -5.2
ATS +/-: -1.9
POR
Advantage
44-44-0
(50.0%)
Margin: -0.9
ATS +/-: -0.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CHI
39-43-0
(47.6%)
Margin: -5.2
ATS +/-: -1.9
POR
Advantage
46-42-0
(52.3%)
Margin: -0.9
ATS +/-: -0.4
⚖️ Over/Under
CHI
38-44-0
O: 46.3% / U: 53.7%
Total +/-: +0.5
POR
44-44-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0%
Total +/-: -1.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
POR
CHI
POR
CHI
ML
53%
56-49
56%
54-42
55%
49-40
57%
46-35
ATS
62%
65-39-1
65%
62-33-1
55%
49-40
57%
46-35
TTL
56%
58-46-1
58%
56-40
100%
89-0
100%
81-0
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