Home / NBA Projections NBA / Knicks @ Mavericks NY @ DAL

NEW YORK

KNICKSNY

8-5  |  Road

113
FINAL
Wed, Nov 19 • 9:30 PM ET
American Airlines Center
View Odds Details →

DALLAS

MAVERICKSDAL

4-11  |  Home

111
AI Model Win Probability
KNICKS
100%
📊
MAVERICKS
0%
KNICKS --
MAVERICKS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
227.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-3.0
DALLAS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +3.0 points (Dallas)
KnicksNY (-3.5) 0 MavericksDAL (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Knicks Cover

38.2%

Mavericks Cover

61.8%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around DAL -3.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (DAL)

NY By 1-7 points

21.6%

NY By 8-14 points

10.7%

DAL By 1-7 points

27.2%

DAL By 8-14 points

20.1%

AI Model Projected Score
112
NEW YORK
115
DALLAS
Simulated Score
108
NEW YORK
112
DALLAS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Mavericks Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Mavericks Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Mavericks (+7.5) Win
Proj Spread: -3.0
D
Sim Mavericks (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u231.5 Win
Proj Total: 227.0
D
Sim u231.5 Win
Proj Total: 220.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Jan 19, 2026 DAL @ NY 114 - 97
Nov 19, 2025 NY @ DAL 113 - 111
Mar 25, 2025 DAL @ NY 113 - 128
Nov 27, 2024 NY @ DAL 114 - 129
Feb 8, 2024 DAL @ NY 122 - 108
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +55.8% more
Dallas: 6.6 vs New York: 4.2
Turnovers (L5) +39.6% more
Dallas: 18.6 vs New York: 13.3
Assists (L5) +16.5% more
New York: 26.4 vs Dallas: 22.1
Free Throw % (L5) +10.5%
New York: 77.0% vs Dallas: 66.5%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
NY Score 112.0 113
DAL Score 115.0 111
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 32.8 / 34.1 36.0 / 29.0
Assists 22.1 / 26.4 23.0 / 27.0
Blocks 6.6 / 4.2 5.0 / 10.0
Field Goal % 44.8 / 46.7 41.0 / 44.0
Free Throw % 66.5 / 77.0 83.0 / 54.0
Rebounding 45.6 / 45.3 50.0 / 49.0
Steals 8.3 / 8.5 6.0 / 8.0
Turnovers 18.6 / 13.3 18.0 / 9.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
87%TICKETS13%
79%MONEY21%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
72%TICKETS28%
84%MONEY16%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
68%TICKETS32%
91%MONEY9%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
NY Advantage
70-32-0 (68.6%)
Margin: 8.0 ATS +/-: +3.5
DAL
26-56-0 (31.7%)
Margin: -5.5 ATS +/-: -0.8
🎯 ATS (Spread)
NY Advantage
58-44-0 (56.9%)
Margin: 8.0 ATS +/-: +3.5
DAL
36-46-0 (43.9%)
Margin: -5.5 ATS +/-: -0.8
⚖️ Over/Under
NY
47-55-0
O: 46.1% / U: 53.9% Total +/-: -1.4
DAL
37-45-0
O: 45.1% / U: 54.9% Total +/-: +1.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
DAL
NY
DAL
NY
ML
62% 63-39
61% 114-72
54% 44-37
56% 57-45
ATS
67% 68-34
67% 124-62
54% 44-37
56% 57-45
TTL
59% 60-41-1
72% 133-53
100% 81-0
100% 102-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
Contextual Game News
Tyler Kolek's Girlfriend Spills: Knicks Parade Police Mix-Up Hap…
nypost 1 hour, 15 minutes ago
Cooper Flagg and Mavericks Face Media at NBA China Games in Macao
dallasnews 1 hour, 23 minutes ago
Kyrie Irving Set for Mavericks Return in China After 19-Month AC…
yahoo 7 hours, 15 minutes ago
Adam Fox Quietly Dominating as Rangers Surge Early in 2026-27
si 13 hours, 46 minutes ago
Anonymous NBA Scout Shuts Down JJ Redick's Lakers Title Hopes wi…
bleacherreport 1 day, 7 hours ago