CALGARY
FLAMESCGY
5-13-3 | Road
6
BUFFALO
SABRESBUF
7-8-4 | Home
2
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Devin Cooley
#1 | Goaltender@
GOALTENDER
Colten Ellis
#92 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Devin Cooley | None-None | 2.00 | 0.933 | -- |
| Colten Ellis | None-None | 6.00 | 0.829 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
2.00 Ldr
GAA
6.00
0.933 Ldr
Save %
0.829
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
FLAMES
100%
SABRES
0%
FLAMES
--
SABRES
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
7.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
BUFFALO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Buffalo)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around BUF -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (BUF)
CGY By 1 goal
12.1%
CGY By 2-3 goals
9.3%
BUF By 1 goal
19.7%
BUF By 2-3 goals
29.6%
AI Model Projected Score
Calgary
3
CALGARY
Buffalo
4
BUFFALO
Simulated Score
Calgary
3
CALGARY
Buffalo
4
BUFFALO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Sabres
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Sabres
Loss
50% Win Prob
B
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Sabres (+1.5)
Loss
Proj Goals: -1.0
D
Sim
Sabres (+0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -1.0
B
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o6.0
Win
Proj Total: 7.0
D
Sim
u6.0
Win
Proj Total: 7.0
B
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Dec 8, 2025
BUF @ CGY
4 - 7
Nov 19, 2025
CGY @ BUF
6 - 2
Jan 23, 2025
BUF @ CGY
2 - 5
Nov 9, 2024
CGY @ BUF
2 - 3
Mar 24, 2024
BUF @ CGY
4 - 1
Key Model Drivers
Takeaways (L5)
+56.4% more
Buffalo: 6.6
vs
Calgary: 4.2
Power Play % (L5)
+4.7%
Buffalo: 21.0%
vs
Calgary: 16.3%
Hits (L5)
+39.1% more
Calgary: 27.5
vs
Buffalo: 16.7
Shots on Goal (L5)
+15.7% more
Calgary: 30.1
vs
Buffalo: 25.4
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
CGY Score
3.0
6
BUF Score
4.0
2
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
16.0 / 15.3
25.0 / 16.0
Faceoff %
41.7 / 54.4
46.7 / 53.3
Hits
16.7 / 27.5
17.0 / 17.0
Power Play %
2096.0 / 1626.0
0.0 / 0.0
Shots on Goal
25.4 / 30.1
30.0 / 35.0
Takeaways
6.6 / 4.2
3.0 / 4.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
BUF
CGY
BUF
CGY
ML
67%
2-1
33%
1-2
67%
2-1
33%
1-2
ATS
33%
1-2
33%
1-2
100%
3-0
33%
1-2
TTL
33%
1-2
67%
2-1
33%
1-2
0%
0-3
Contextual Game News
Flames Promote Aydar Suniev and Jonathan Castagna to Fill Roster…
Jiri Kulich's Emotional Game-Winner Lifts Sabres Over Blackhawks…
Matthew Knies Ignites Blue Jackets Debut with Record-Setting Per…
Buffalo Bills Face Backlash Over Water Bottle Policy at Highmark…
Sabres' 2026 Season: Overcoming Key Losses to Chase Cup Glory