Home / NBA Projections NBA / Raptors @ 76ers TOR @ PHI

TORONTO

RAPTORSTOR

9-5  |  Road

121
FINAL
Wed, Nov 19 • 7:00 PM ET
Xfinity Mobile Arena
View Odds Details →

PHILADELPHIA

76ERSPHI

8-5  |  Home

112
AI Model Win Probability
RAPTORS
0%
📊
76ERS
100%
RAPTORS --
76ERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
249.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-39.0
TORONTO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +39.0 points (Toronto)
RaptorsTOR (-3.5) 0 76ersPHI (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Raptors Cover

100.0%

76ers Cover

0.0%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around TOR -39.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (TOR)

TOR By 1-7 points

0.1%

TOR By 8-14 points

0.6%

PHI By 1-7 points

0.0%

PHI By 8-14 points

0.0%

AI Model Projected Score
144
TORONTO
105
PHILADELPHIA
Simulated Score
107
TORONTO
112
PHILADELPHIA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Raptors Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim 76ers Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Raptors (+2) Win
Proj Spread: -39.0
D
Sim 76ers (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o234.0 Loss
Proj Total: 249.0
D
Sim u234.0 Win
Proj Total: 219.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Jan 12, 2026 PHI @ TOR 115 - 102
Jan 11, 2026 PHI @ TOR 115 - 116
Nov 19, 2025 TOR @ PHI 121 - 112
Nov 8, 2025 TOR @ PHI 120 - 130
Mar 30, 2025 TOR @ PHI 127 - 109
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5) +19.3% more
Toronto: 8.3 vs Philadelphia: 6.7
Assists (L5) +17.0% more
Toronto: 28.1 vs Philadelphia: 23.3
Turnovers (L5) +10.7% more
Toronto: 13.8 vs Philadelphia: 12.3
Blocks (L5) +9.5% more
Toronto: 5.4 vs Philadelphia: 4.9
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
TOR Score 144.0 121
PHI Score 105.0 112
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 35.3 / 33.9 40.0 / 38.0
Assists 23.3 / 28.1 24.0 / 33.0
Blocks 4.9 / 5.4 6.0 / 2.0
Field Goal % 45.1 / 51.4 47.0 / 54.0
Free Throw % 76.5 / 74.3 89.0 / 83.0
Rebounding 43.9 / 43.3 41.0 / 31.0
Steals 6.7 / 8.3 11.0 / 12.0
Turnovers 12.3 / 13.8 21.0 / 15.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
48%TICKETS52%
76%MONEY24%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
53%TICKETS47%
56%MONEY44%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
68%TICKETS32%
53%MONEY47%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
TOR Advantage
49-40-0 (55.1%)
Margin: 2.5 ATS +/-: +1.4
PHI
50-44-0 (53.2%)
Margin: -1.2 ATS +/-: -0.8
🎯 ATS (Spread)
TOR
46-43-0 (51.7%)
Margin: 2.5 ATS +/-: +1.4
PHI Advantage
50-44-0 (53.2%)
Margin: -1.2 ATS +/-: -0.8
⚖️ Over/Under
TOR
37-52-0
O: 41.6% / U: 58.4% Total +/-: -1.8
PHI
44-50-0
O: 46.8% / U: 53.2% Total +/-: +1.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
PHI
TOR
PHI
TOR
ML
63% 69-40
55% 57-47
48% 45-48
55% 48-39
ATS
65% 71-38
61% 62-40-2
48% 45-48
55% 48-39
TTL
55% 60-49
60% 62-42
100% 93-0
100% 87-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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