LOYOLA MARYLAND
GREYHOUNDSL-MD
2-4 | Road
78
DUQUESNE
DUKESDUQ
4-1 | Home
92
AI Model Win Probability
GREYHOUNDS
100%
DUKES
0%
GREYHOUNDS
--
DUKES
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
121.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-5.0
DUQUESNE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +5.0 points (Duquesne)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around DUQ -5.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (DUQ)
L-MD By 1-7 points
18.6%
L-MD By 8-14 points
8.0%
DUQ By 1-7 points
27.2%
DUQ By 8-14 points
23.0%
AI Model Projected Score
Loyola Maryland
58
LOYOLA MARYLAND
Duquesne
63
DUQUESNE
Simulated Score
Loyola Maryland
65
LOYOLA MARYLAND
Duquesne
78
DUQUESNE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Dukes
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Dukes
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Dukes (+15.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Sim
Dukes (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -13.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u149.5
Loss
Proj Total: 121.0
D
Sim
u149.5
Win
Proj Total: 143.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Nov 19, 2025
L-MD @ DUQ
78 - 92
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5)
+34.5% more
Duquesne: 14.8
vs
Loyola Maryland: 11.0
Assists (L5)
+26.6% more
Duquesne: 14.9
vs
Loyola Maryland: 11.8
Steals (L5)
+9.8% more
Duquesne: 6.4
vs
Loyola Maryland: 5.8
Free Throw % (L5)
+2.4%
Duquesne: 65.5%
vs
Loyola Maryland: 63.0%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
L-MD Score
58.0
78
DUQ Score
63.0
92
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
34.9 / 32.7
35.0 / 36.0
Assists
14.9 / 11.8
21.0 / 16.0
Blocks
2.6 / 4.2
1.0 / 1.0
Field Goal %
47.8 / 49.0
55.0 / 48.0
Free Throw %
65.5 / 63.0
77.0 / 62.0
Rebounding
35.6 / 34.0
39.0 / 25.0
Steals
6.4 / 5.8
8.0 / 10.0
Turnovers
14.8 / 11.0
17.0 / 12.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
L-MD
12-20-0
(37.5%)
Margin: -1.8
ATS +/-: -0.5
DUQ
Advantage
18-15-0
(54.6%)
Margin: 3.1
ATS +/-: -0.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
L-MD
Advantage
15-14-1
(51.7%)
Margin: -1.8
ATS +/-: -0.5
DUQ
14-16-1
(46.7%)
Margin: 3.1
ATS +/-: -0.3
⚖️ Over/Under
L-MD
17-13-0
O: 56.7% / U: 43.3%
Total +/-: +4.5
DUQ
16-15-0
O: 51.6% / U: 48.4%
Total +/-: +1.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
DUQ
L-MD
DUQ
L-MD
ML
53%
17-15
53%
17-15
58%
18-13
66%
21-11
ATS
69%
22-10
56%
18-14
58%
18-13
66%
21-11
TTL
50%
16-16
44%
14-18
100%
31-0
100%
32-0
