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CHATTANOOGA

MOCSUTC

1-3  |  Road

78
FINAL
Wed, Nov 19 • 7:00 PM ET
Smith-Hammond-Middleton Memorial Center
View Odds Details →

SOUTH CAROLINA STATE

BULLDOGSSCST

0-4  |  Home

66
AI Model Win Probability
MOCS
100%
📊
BULLDOGS
0%
MOCS --
BULLDOGS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
133.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
SOUTH CAROLINA STATE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (South Carolina State)
MocsUTC (-3.5) 0 BulldogsSCST (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Mocs Cover

46.0%

Bulldogs Cover

54.0%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around SCST -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (SCST)

UTC By 1-7 points

24.3%

UTC By 8-14 points

13.7%

SCST By 1-7 points

26.2%

SCST By 8-14 points

16.9%

AI Model Projected Score
66
CHATTANOOGA
67
SOUTH CAROLINA STATE
Simulated Score
65
CHATTANOOGA
78
SOUTH CAROLINA STATE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Bulldogs Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Bulldogs Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Bulldogs (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -1.0
D
Sim Bulldogs (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -13.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 133.0
D
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 143.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 19, 2025 UTC @ SCST 78 - 66
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +104.2% more
South Carolina State: 3.9 vs Chattanooga: 1.9
Turnovers (L5) +63.7% more
South Carolina State: 16.7 vs Chattanooga: 10.2
Steals (L5) +29.1% more
South Carolina State: 6.8 vs Chattanooga: 5.3
Rebounding (L5) +20.6% more
South Carolina State: 34.6 vs Chattanooga: 28.7
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
UTC Score 66.0 78
SCST Score 67.0 66
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 38.1 / 33.3 32.0 / 35.0
Assists 11.9 / 16.6 10.0 / 17.0
Blocks 3.9 / 1.9 1.0 / 0.0
Field Goal % 37.7 / 43.5 30.0 / 45.0
Free Throw % 60.8 / 72.8 62.0 / 71.0
Rebounding 34.6 / 28.7 30.0 / 36.0
Steals 6.8 / 5.3 5.0 / 4.0
Turnovers 16.7 / 10.2 10.0 / 12.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
94%TICKETS6%
65%MONEY35%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
52%TICKETS48%
57%MONEY43%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
39%TICKETS61%
12%MONEY88%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
UTC Advantage
13-19-0 (40.6%)
Margin: 1.4 ATS +/-: -3.7
SCST
10-22-0 (31.3%)
Margin: -11.7 ATS +/-: -0.9
🎯 ATS (Spread)
UTC
12-17-0 (41.4%)
Margin: 1.4 ATS +/-: -3.7
SCST Advantage
13-16-1 (44.8%)
Margin: -11.7 ATS +/-: -0.9
⚖️ Over/Under
UTC
16-13-0
O: 55.2% / U: 44.8% Total +/-: +2.8
SCST
14-16-0
O: 46.7% / U: 53.3% Total +/-: +0.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
SCST
UTC
SCST
UTC
ML
61% 19-12
48% 15-16
74% 20-7
53% 16-14
ATS
68% 21-10
52% 16-15
74% 20-7
55% 17-14
TTL
52% 16-15
77% 24-7
100% 27-0
100% 31-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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