TENNESSEE TECH
GOLDEN EAGLESTNTC
3-3 | Road
88
SOUTH CAROLINA UPSTATE
SPARTANSUPST
3-3 | Home
84
AI Model Win Probability
GOLDEN EAGLES
0%
SPARTANS
100%
GOLDEN EAGLES
--
SPARTANS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
153.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-31.0
TENNESSEE TECH
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +31.0 points (Tennessee Tech)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around TNTC -31.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (TNTC)
TNTC By 1-7 points
0.8%
TNTC By 8-14 points
4.0%
UPST By 1-7 points
0.1%
UPST By 8-14 points
0.0%
AI Model Projected Score
Tennessee Tech
92
TENNESSEE TECH
South Carolina Upstate
61
SOUTH CAROLINA UPSTATE
Simulated Score
Tennessee Tech
68
TENNESSEE TECH
South Carolina Upstate
72
SOUTH CAROLINA UPSTATE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Golden Eagles
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Spartans
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Golden Eagles (-2.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -31.0
D
Sim
Spartans (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o150.5
Win
Proj Total: 153.0
D
Sim
u150.5
Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Nov 19, 2025
TNTC @ UPST
88 - 84
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5)
+20.0% more
Tennessee Tech: 17.5
vs
South Carolina Upstate: 14.0
Turnovers (L5)
+18.1% more
Tennessee Tech: 15.1
vs
South Carolina Upstate: 12.3
Free Throw % (L5)
+3.5%
Tennessee Tech: 73.3%
vs
South Carolina Upstate: 69.8%
Blocks (L5)
+34.3% more
South Carolina Upstate: 5.2
vs
Tennessee Tech: 3.9
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
TNTC Score
92.0
88
UPST Score
61.0
84
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
34.6 / 25.6
19.0 / 38.0
Assists
14.0 / 17.5
15.0 / 10.0
Blocks
5.2 / 3.9
5.0 / 4.0
Field Goal %
47.0 / 45.5
48.0 / 49.0
Free Throw %
69.8 / 73.3
63.0 / 81.0
Rebounding
39.7 / 40.3
29.0 / 42.0
Steals
8.8 / 7.6
9.0 / 7.0
Turnovers
12.3 / 15.1
9.0 / 17.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
TNTC
Advantage
13-18-0
(41.9%)
Margin: -1.2
ATS +/-: -0.4
UPST
13-19-0
(40.6%)
Margin: 0.6
ATS +/-: -0.6
🎯 ATS (Spread)
TNTC
Advantage
14-14-0
(50.0%)
Margin: -1.2
ATS +/-: -0.4
UPST
13-16-0
(44.8%)
Margin: 0.6
ATS +/-: -0.6
⚖️ Over/Under
TNTC
14-14-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0%
Total +/-: -0.6
UPST
14-15-0
O: 48.3% / U: 51.7%
Total +/-: -3.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
UPST
TNTC
UPST
TNTC
ML
61%
19-12
50%
15-15
83%
25-5
65%
15-8
ATS
61%
19-12
50%
15-15
83%
25-5
65%
15-8
TTL
52%
16-15
57%
17-13
100%
30-0
100%
23-0
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