Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Bison @ Hatters HOW @ STET

HOWARD

BISONHOW

2-3  |  Road

60
FINAL
Wed, Nov 19 • 7:00 PM ET
Edmunds Center
View Odds Details →

STETSON

HATTERSSTET

2-3  |  Home

64
AI Model Win Probability
BISON
0%
📊
HATTERS
100%
BISON --
HATTERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
147.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-11.0
HOWARD
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +11.0 points (Howard)
BisonHOW (-3.5) 0 HattersSTET (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Bison Cover

86.4%

Hatters Cover

13.6%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around HOW -11.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (HOW)

HOW By 1-7 points

21.6%

HOW By 8-14 points

27.4%

STET By 1-7 points

9.3%

STET By 8-14 points

2.7%

AI Model Projected Score
79
HOWARD
68
STETSON
Simulated Score
74
HOWARD
78
STETSON
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Bison Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Hatters Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Bison (+2.5) Loss
Proj Spread: -11.0
D
Sim Hatters (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u149.5 Win
Proj Total: 147.0
D
Sim u149.5 Win
Proj Total: 152.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 19, 2025 HOW @ STET 60 - 64
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +23.2% more
Howard: 3.1 vs Stetson: 2.4
Turnovers (L5) +16.3% more
Howard: 15.9 vs Stetson: 13.3
Assists (L5) +12.2% more
Howard: 15.0 vs Stetson: 13.1
Field Goal % (L5) +11.4%
Howard: 51.0% vs Stetson: 39.7%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
HOW Score 79.0 60
STET Score 68.0 64
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 30.3 / 38.0 35.0 / 26.0
Assists 13.1 / 15.0 9.0 / 10.0
Blocks 2.4 / 3.1 3.0 / 1.0
Field Goal % 39.7 / 51.0 40.0 / 33.0
Free Throw % 64.2 / 73.2 75.0 / 75.0
Rebounding 35.3 / 31.9 37.0 / 40.0
Steals 7.7 / 7.3 3.0 / 12.0
Turnovers 13.3 / 15.9 16.0 / 10.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
74%TICKETS26%
65%MONEY35%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
62%TICKETS38%
64%MONEY36%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
61%TICKETS39%
63%MONEY37%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
HOW Advantage
24-11-0 (68.6%)
Margin: 8.6 ATS +/-: +4.9
STET
12-21-0 (36.4%)
Margin: -6.1 ATS +/-: +2.0
🎯 ATS (Spread)
HOW Advantage
22-8-1 (73.3%)
Margin: 8.6 ATS +/-: +4.9
STET
18-13-0 (58.1%)
Margin: -6.1 ATS +/-: +2.0
⚖️ Over/Under
HOW
14-17-0
O: 45.2% / U: 54.8% Total +/-: 0.0
STET
14-17-0
O: 45.2% / U: 54.8% Total +/-: +1.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
STET
HOW
STET
HOW
ML
55% 18-15
59% 20-14
73% 24-9
71% 22-9
ATS
64% 21-12
59% 20-14
73% 24-9
71% 22-9
TTL
61% 20-13
62% 21-13
100% 33-0
100% 31-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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