Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Ospreys @ Terriers UNF @ WOF

NORTH FLORIDA

OSPREYSUNF

1-3  |  Road

78
FINAL
Wed, Nov 19 • 7:00 PM ET
Jerry Richardson Indoor Stadium
View Odds Details →

WOFFORD

TERRIERSWOF

3-2  |  Home

86
AI Model Win Probability
OSPREYS
0%
📊
TERRIERS
100%
OSPREYS --
TERRIERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
152.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-12.0
NORTH FLORIDA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +12.0 points (North Florida)
OspreysUNF (-3.5) 0 TerriersWOF (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Ospreys Cover

88.5%

Terriers Cover

11.5%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around UNF -12.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (UNF)

UNF By 1-7 points

20.1%

UNF By 8-14 points

27.2%

WOF By 1-7 points

8.0%

WOF By 8-14 points

2.2%

AI Model Projected Score
82
NORTH FLORIDA
70
WOFFORD
Simulated Score
73
NORTH FLORIDA
78
WOFFORD
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Ospreys Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Terriers Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Ospreys (-11.5) Loss
Proj Spread: -12.0
D
Sim Terriers (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u161.5 Loss
Proj Total: 152.0
D
Sim u161.5 Win
Proj Total: 151.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 19, 2025 UNF @ WOF 78 - 86
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5) +46.7% more
North Florida: 9.7 vs Wofford: 5.2
Rebounding (L5) +8.3% more
North Florida: 35.2 vs Wofford: 32.3
Blocks (L5) +301.7% more
Wofford: 4.7 vs North Florida: 1.2
Assists (L5) +16.4% more
Wofford: 17.1 vs North Florida: 14.7
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
UNF Score 82.0 78
WOF Score 70.0 86
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 38.2 / 33.0 24.0 / 42.0
Assists 17.1 / 14.7 18.0 / 18.0
Blocks 4.7 / 1.2 2.0 / 1.0
Field Goal % 45.7 / 44.2 51.0 / 46.0
Free Throw % 74.6 / 65.3 64.0 / 75.0
Rebounding 32.3 / 35.2 43.0 / 27.0
Steals 5.2 / 9.7 9.0 / 8.0
Turnovers 12.3 / 11.8 10.0 / 11.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
2%TICKETS98%
16%MONEY84%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
38%TICKETS62%
19%MONEY81%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
41%TICKETS59%
49%MONEY51%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
UNF
7-25-0 (21.9%)
Margin: -8.6 ATS +/-: +1.1
WOF Advantage
19-13-0 (59.4%)
Margin: 1.6 ATS +/-: -1.0
🎯 ATS (Spread)
UNF Advantage
17-12-0 (58.6%)
Margin: -8.6 ATS +/-: +1.1
WOF
15-15-0 (50.0%)
Margin: 1.6 ATS +/-: -1.0
⚖️ Over/Under
UNF
14-15-0
O: 48.3% / U: 51.7% Total +/-: +3.5
WOF
16-14-0
O: 53.3% / U: 46.7% Total +/-: +4.9
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
WOF
UNF
WOF
UNF
ML
39% 12-19
69% 22-10
61% 19-12
66% 21-11
ATS
58% 18-13
69% 22-10
61% 19-12
66% 21-11
TTL
65% 20-11
66% 21-11
100% 31-0
100% 32-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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