Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Jaguars @ Gamecocks USA @ JXST

SOUTH ALABAMA

JAGUARSUSA

5-0  |  Road

71
FINAL
Wed, Nov 19 • 7:00 PM ET
Pete Mathews Coliseum
View Odds Details →

JACKSONVILLE STATE

GAMECOCKSJXST

3-0  |  Home

65
AI Model Win Probability
JAGUARS
0%
📊
GAMECOCKS
100%
JAGUARS --
GAMECOCKS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
121.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-17.0
SOUTH ALABAMA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +17.0 points (South Alabama)
JaguarsUSA (-3.5) 0 GamecocksJXST (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Jaguars Cover

95.5%

Gamecocks Cover

4.5%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around USA -17.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (USA)

USA By 1-7 points

12.2%

USA By 8-14 points

23.0%

JXST By 1-7 points

3.3%

JXST By 8-14 points

0.6%

AI Model Projected Score
69
SOUTH ALABAMA
52
JACKSONVILLE STATE
Simulated Score
68
SOUTH ALABAMA
72
JACKSONVILLE STATE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Jaguars Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Gamecocks Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Jaguars (-0) Win
Proj Spread: -17.0
D
Sim Gamecocks (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 121.0
D
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 19, 2025 USA @ JXST 71 - 65
Dec 8, 2024 JXST @ USA 74 - 76
Nov 30, 2023 USA @ JXST 52 - 70
Dec 21, 2022 JXST @ USA 66 - 71
Dec 4, 2021 USA @ JXST 74 - 64
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +59.4% more
Jacksonville State: 3.9 vs South Alabama: 2.4
Assists (L5) +14.9% more
Jacksonville State: 14.6 vs South Alabama: 12.7
Rebounding (L5) +12.3% more
Jacksonville State: 45.0 vs South Alabama: 40.0
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +4.7%
Jacksonville State: 36.4% vs South Alabama: 31.7%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
USA Score 69.0 71
JXST Score 52.0 65
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 36.4 / 31.7 37.0 / 29.0
Assists 14.6 / 12.7 20.0 / 7.0
Blocks 3.9 / 2.4 5.0 / 1.0
Field Goal % 46.7 / 45.1 39.0 / 49.0
Free Throw % 68.8 / 66.5 25.0 / 63.0
Rebounding 45.0 / 40.0 38.0 / 36.0
Steals 7.6 / 8.1 2.0 / 6.0
Turnovers 9.1 / 8.9 12.0 / 7.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
41%TICKETS59%
22%MONEY78%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
45%TICKETS55%
26%MONEY74%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
76%TICKETS24%
42%MONEY58%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
USA Advantage
21-12-0 (63.6%)
Margin: 4.3 ATS +/-: +1.1
JXST
15-17-0 (46.9%)
Margin: 4.3 ATS +/-: -0.1
🎯 ATS (Spread)
USA Advantage
17-14-0 (54.8%)
Margin: 4.3 ATS +/-: +1.1
JXST
13-15-1 (46.4%)
Margin: 4.3 ATS +/-: -0.1
⚖️ Over/Under
USA
16-15-0
O: 51.6% / U: 48.4% Total +/-: +2.3
JXST
17-11-1
O: 60.7% / U: 39.3% Total +/-: +0.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
JXST
USA
JXST
USA
ML
50% 16-16
47% 15-17
55% 17-14
57% 17-13
ATS
62% 20-12
53% 17-15
55% 17-14
57% 17-13
TTL
62% 20-12
66% 21-11
100% 31-0
100% 30-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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