Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Wildcats @ Huskies ARIZ @ CONN

ARIZONA

WILDCATSARIZ

5-0  |  Road

71
FINAL
Wed, Nov 19 • 7:00 PM ET
Gampel Pavilion
View Odds Details →

UCONN

HUSKIESCONN

4-1  |  Home

67
AI Model Win Probability
WILDCATS
0%
📊
HUSKIES
100%
WILDCATS --
HUSKIES --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
126.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-16.0
ARIZONA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +16.0 points (Arizona)
WildcatsARIZ (-3.5) 0 HuskiesCONN (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Wildcats Cover

94.5%

Huskies Cover

5.5%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around ARIZ -16.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (ARIZ)

ARIZ By 1-7 points

13.7%

ARIZ By 8-14 points

24.3%

CONN By 1-7 points

4.0%

CONN By 8-14 points

0.8%

AI Model Projected Score
71
ARIZONA
55
UCONN
Simulated Score
72
ARIZONA
76
UCONN
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Wildcats Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Huskies Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Wildcats (-0) Win
Proj Spread: -16.0
D
Sim Huskies (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 126.0
D
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 148.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 19, 2025 ARIZ @ CONN 71 - 67
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5) +14.8% more
Arizona: 13.1 vs UConn: 11.2
Rebounding (L5) +11.5% more
Arizona: 39.0 vs UConn: 34.5
Free Throw % (L5) +3.3%
Arizona: 75.4% vs UConn: 72.2%
Blocks (L5) +15.4% more
UConn: 5.3 vs Arizona: 4.6
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
ARIZ Score 71.0 71
CONN Score 55.0 67
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 39.6 / 39.7 32.0 / 20.0
Assists 19.7 / 17.8 15.0 / 9.0
Blocks 5.3 / 4.6 6.0 / 4.0
Field Goal % 54.1 / 48.8 45.0 / 46.0
Free Throw % 72.2 / 75.4 50.0 / 76.0
Rebounding 34.5 / 39.0 23.0 / 43.0
Steals 8.4 / 7.9 4.0 / 3.0
Turnovers 11.2 / 13.1 5.0 / 10.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
25%TICKETS75%
42%MONEY58%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
48%TICKETS52%
43%MONEY57%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
69%TICKETS31%
60%MONEY40%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
ARIZ Advantage
36-3-0 (92.3%)
Margin: 16.8 ATS +/-: +3.2
CONN
34-6-0 (85.0%)
Margin: 11.4 ATS +/-: -1.1
🎯 ATS (Spread)
ARIZ Advantage
23-15-1 (60.5%)
Margin: 16.8 ATS +/-: +3.2
CONN
18-22-0 (45.0%)
Margin: 11.4 ATS +/-: -1.1
⚖️ Over/Under
ARIZ
20-19-0
O: 51.3% / U: 48.7% Total +/-: -1.4
CONN
19-21-0
O: 47.5% / U: 52.5% Total +/-: -1.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CONN
ARIZ
CONN
ARIZ
ML
76% 29-9
67% 26-13
66% 23-12
68% 23-11
ATS
74% 28-10
74% 29-10
66% 23-12
68% 23-11
TTL
50% 19-19
56% 22-17
100% 35-0
100% 34-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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