Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Wildcats @ Explorers VILL @ LAS

VILLANOVA

WILDCATSVILL

8-2  |  Road

70
FINAL
Wed, Nov 19 • 7:00 PM ET
John Glaser Arena
View Odds Details →

LA SALLE

EXPLORERSLAS

2-3  |  Home

55
AI Model Win Probability
WILDCATS
0%
📊
EXPLORERS
100%
WILDCATS --
EXPLORERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
152.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+4.0
LA SALLE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
WildcatsVILL (-3.5) 0 ExplorersLAS (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Wildcats Cover

34.5%

Explorers Cover

65.5%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around LAS +4.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (LAS)

VILL By 1-7 points

27.4%

VILL By 8-14 points

21.6%

LAS By 1-7 points

20.1%

LAS By 8-14 points

9.3%

AI Model Projected Score
78
VILLANOVA
74
LA SALLE
Simulated Score
78
VILLANOVA
65
LA SALLE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Wildcats Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Wildcats Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Explorers (+12.5) Win
Proj Spread: +4.0
D
Sim Wildcats (-0) Win
Proj Spread: -13.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o145.5 Loss
Proj Total: 152.0
D
Sim u145.5 Win
Proj Total: 143.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 19, 2025 VILL @ LAS 70 - 55
Nov 7, 2022 LAS @ VILL 68 - 81
Nov 28, 2021 VILL @ LAS 72 - 46
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5) +24.2% more
Villanova: 7.0 vs La Salle: 5.3
Assists (L5) +19.5% more
Villanova: 17.1 vs La Salle: 13.7
Rebounding (L5) +15.5% more
Villanova: 39.9 vs La Salle: 33.7
Field Goal % (L5) +2.8%
Villanova: 46.2% vs La Salle: 43.4%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
VILL Score 78.0 70
LAS Score 74.0 55
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 40.9 / 36.5 23.0 / 32.0
Assists 13.7 / 17.1 10.0 / 17.0
Blocks 2.8 / 1.2 0.0 / 2.0
Field Goal % 43.4 / 46.2 43.0 / 52.0
Free Throw % 77.4 / 70.7 62.0 / 60.0
Rebounding 33.7 / 39.9 28.0 / 33.0
Steals 5.3 / 7.0 8.0 / 6.0
Turnovers 12.5 / 11.1 16.0 / 13.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
97%TICKETS3%
96%MONEY4%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
64%TICKETS36%
56%MONEY44%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
66%TICKETS34%
74%MONEY26%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
VILL Advantage
24-9-0 (72.7%)
Margin: 5.9 ATS +/-: +1.0
LAS
9-23-0 (28.1%)
Margin: -6.9 ATS +/-: -0.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
VILL Advantage
19-14-0 (57.6%)
Margin: 5.9 ATS +/-: +1.0
LAS
14-17-0 (45.2%)
Margin: -6.9 ATS +/-: -0.3
⚖️ Over/Under
VILL
20-13-0
O: 60.6% / U: 39.4% Total +/-: +1.7
LAS
14-17-0
O: 45.2% / U: 54.8% Total +/-: -0.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
LAS
VILL
LAS
VILL
ML
69% 22-10
44% 14-18
69% 22-10
72% 23-9
ATS
78% 25-7
56% 18-14
69% 22-10
72% 23-9
TTL
66% 21-11
41% 13-19
100% 32-0
100% 32-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
Contextual Game News
K-State vs Houston: Week 6 Showdown with Big 12 Title Implicatio…
si 5 hours, 56 minutes ago
Rylan Griffen Secures Spot on Texas A&M's 2026-27 Roster After N…
aggieswire 12 hours, 38 minutes ago
Mountain West Media Days: Eric Olen Earns High Praise from Rival…
yahoo 19 hours, 5 minutes ago
Houston Cougars Set for Road Test Against Kansas State in Big 12…
si 1 day, 5 hours ago
Tyrese Haliburton Set to Make Emotional Return to Iowa State as …
kcci 1 day, 5 hours ago