Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Cowboys @ Bearkats WYO @ SHSU

WYOMING

COWBOYSWYO

4-1  |  Road

70
FINAL
Wed, Nov 19 • 7:30 PM ET
Bernard G. Johnson Coliseum
View Odds Details →

SAM HOUSTON

BEARKATSSHSU

2-2  |  Home

78
AI Model Win Probability
COWBOYS
100%
📊
BEARKATS
0%
COWBOYS --
BEARKATS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
129.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-21.0
SAM HOUSTON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +21.0 points (Sam Houston)
CowboysWYO (-3.5) 0 BearkatsSHSU (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Cowboys Cover

1.8%

Bearkats Cover

98.2%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around SHSU -21.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (SHSU)

WYO By 1-7 points

1.4%

WYO By 8-14 points

0.2%

SHSU By 1-7 points

6.8%

SHSU By 8-14 points

16.9%

AI Model Projected Score
54
WYOMING
75
SAM HOUSTON
Simulated Score
68
WYOMING
72
SAM HOUSTON
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Bearkats Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Bearkats Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Bearkats (-1.5) Win
Proj Spread: -21.0
D
Sim Bearkats (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u156.5 Win
Proj Total: 129.0
D
Sim u156.5 Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 19, 2025 WYO @ SHSU 70 - 78
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +73.6% more
Sam Houston: 5.5 vs Wyoming: 3.1
Free Throw % (L5) +9.3%
Sam Houston: 79.0% vs Wyoming: 69.7%
Assists (L5) +35.5% more
Wyoming: 18.6 vs Sam Houston: 12.0
Rebounding (L5) +14.6% more
Wyoming: 43.8 vs Sam Houston: 37.4
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
WYO Score 54.0 70
SHSU Score 75.0 78
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 32.5 / 35.7 25.0 / 22.0
Assists 12.0 / 18.6 10.0 / 17.0
Blocks 5.5 / 3.1 6.0 / 2.0
Field Goal % 44.0 / 45.1 42.0 / 45.0
Free Throw % 79.0 / 69.7 88.0 / 41.0
Rebounding 37.4 / 43.8 38.0 / 39.0
Steals 7.3 / 8.4 7.0 / 7.0
Turnovers 11.4 / 12.0 15.0 / 15.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
54%TICKETS46%
25%MONEY75%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
57%TICKETS43%
37%MONEY63%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
42%TICKETS58%
24%MONEY76%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
WYO
18-15-0 (54.6%)
Margin: 3.9 ATS +/-: +1.3
SHSU Advantage
22-12-0 (64.7%)
Margin: 7.1 ATS +/-: +3.5
🎯 ATS (Spread)
WYO
15-17-0 (46.9%)
Margin: 3.9 ATS +/-: +1.3
SHSU Advantage
20-11-0 (64.5%)
Margin: 7.1 ATS +/-: +3.5
⚖️ Over/Under
WYO
16-16-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0% Total +/-: +0.7
SHSU
18-13-0
O: 58.1% / U: 41.9% Total +/-: +2.2
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
SHSU
WYO
SHSU
WYO
ML
55% 18-15
52% 17-16
74% 23-8
70% 23-10
ATS
64% 21-12
64% 21-12
74% 23-8
70% 23-10
TTL
48% 16-17
64% 21-12
100% 31-0
100% 33-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
Contextual Game News
West Virginia's Defense Exposed in 41-24 Loss to Oklahoma State
wvnews 1 week, 4 days ago
Haley Cavinder's Fringe-Filled Cowboys Outfit Wows Fans as Jake …
thesun 2 weeks, 3 days ago
Oklahoma State Linebackers Credited with Cracking Dante Moore's …
headtopics 3 weeks, 1 day ago
Oklahoma State's Encore Challenge: Can Cowboys Prove Oregon Upse…
si 3 weeks, 4 days ago
Kashie Natt (4) runs drills during an Oklahoma State basketball …
si 2 months, 1 week ago