IU INDIANAPOLIS
JAGUARSIUIN
2-4 | Road
91
CHARLESTON SOUTHERN
BUCCANEERSCHSO
3-3 | Home
103
AI Model Win Probability
JAGUARS
100%
BUCCANEERS
0%
JAGUARS
--
BUCCANEERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
168.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-14.0
CHARLESTON SOUTHERN
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +14.0 points (Charleston Southern)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around CHSO -14.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CHSO)
IUIN By 1-7 points
5.8%
IUIN By 8-14 points
1.4%
CHSO By 1-7 points
16.9%
CHSO By 8-14 points
26.2%
AI Model Projected Score
IU Indianapolis
77
IU INDIANAPOLIS
Charleston Southern
91
CHARLESTON SOUTHERN
Simulated Score
IU Indianapolis
68
IU INDIANAPOLIS
Charleston Southern
75
CHARLESTON SOUTHERN
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Buccaneers
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Buccaneers
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Buccaneers (+1.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -14.0
D
Sim
Buccaneers (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u188.5
Loss
Proj Total: 168.0
D
Sim
u188.5
Win
Proj Total: 143.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Nov 18, 2025
IUIN @ CHSO
91 - 103
Key Model Drivers
Rebounding (L5)
+12.2% more
Charleston Southern: 40.9
vs
IU Indianapolis: 36.5
Steals (L5)
+57.5% more
IU Indianapolis: 12.6
vs
Charleston Southern: 5.4
Assists (L5)
+17.1% more
IU Indianapolis: 21.5
vs
Charleston Southern: 17.8
Free Throw % (L5)
+11.0%
IU Indianapolis: 76.7%
vs
Charleston Southern: 65.8%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
IUIN Score
77.0
91
CHSO Score
91.0
103
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
32.3 / 36.8
44.0 / 32.0
Assists
17.8 / 21.5
17.0 / 16.0
Blocks
4.1 / 4.1
1.0 / 2.0
Field Goal %
43.7 / 49.4
52.0 / 43.0
Free Throw %
65.8 / 76.7
60.0 / 60.0
Rebounding
40.9 / 36.5
50.0 / 39.0
Steals
5.4 / 12.6
2.0 / 9.0
Turnovers
14.6 / 15.9
17.0 / 4.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
IUIN
--
CHSO
Advantage
15-17-0
(46.9%)
Margin: 3.3
ATS +/-: +2.0
🎯 ATS (Spread)
IUIN
--
CHSO
Advantage
14-15-0
(48.3%)
Margin: 3.3
ATS +/-: +2.0
⚖️ Over/Under
IUIN
--
CHSO
19-10-0
O: 65.5% / U: 34.5%
Total +/-: +4.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CHSO
IUIN
CHSO
IUIN
ML
43%
13-17
69%
22-10
67%
20-10
78%
25-7
ATS
50%
15-15
66%
21-11
68%
21-10
78%
25-7
TTL
50%
15-15
50%
16-16
100%
31-0
100%
32-0
