Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Wildcats @ Friars UNH @ PROV

NEW HAMPSHIRE

WILDCATSUNH

2-4  |  Road

66
FINAL
Tue, Nov 18 • 7:00 PM ET
Amica Mutual Pavilion
View Odds Details →

PROVIDENCE

FRIARSPROV

3-2  |  Home

98
AI Model Win Probability
WILDCATS
100%
📊
FRIARS
0%
WILDCATS --
FRIARS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
137.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
PROVIDENCE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Providence)
WildcatsUNH (-3.5) 0 FriarsPROV (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Wildcats Cover

46.0%

Friars Cover

54.0%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around PROV -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (PROV)

UNH By 1-7 points

24.3%

UNH By 8-14 points

13.7%

PROV By 1-7 points

26.2%

PROV By 8-14 points

16.9%

AI Model Projected Score
68
NEW HAMPSHIRE
69
PROVIDENCE
Simulated Score
61
NEW HAMPSHIRE
78
PROVIDENCE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Friars Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Friars Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Friars (+30) Win
Proj Spread: -1.0
D
Sim Friars (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -17.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u161.5 Loss
Proj Total: 137.0
D
Sim u161.5 Win
Proj Total: 139.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 18, 2025 UNH @ PROV 66 - 98
Nov 18, 2021 UNH @ PROV 58 - 69
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +98.1% more
Providence: 6.1 vs New Hampshire: 3.1
Assists (L5) +27.8% more
Providence: 15.4 vs New Hampshire: 12.1
Rebounding (L5) +8.8% more
Providence: 39.6 vs New Hampshire: 36.4
Field Goal % (L5) +6.5%
Providence: 47.1% vs New Hampshire: 40.5%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
UNH Score 68.0 66
PROV Score 69.0 98
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 31.9 / 29.2 38.0 / 29.0
Assists 15.4 / 12.1 21.0 / 13.0
Blocks 6.1 / 3.1 2.0 / 0.0
Field Goal % 47.1 / 40.5 56.0 / 39.0
Free Throw % 79.0 / 79.1 64.0 / 89.0
Rebounding 39.6 / 36.4 40.0 / 34.0
Steals 5.6 / 7.0 10.0 / 5.0
Turnovers 12.4 / 13.0 8.0 / 14.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
UNH
9-21-0 (30.0%)
Margin: -5.4 ATS +/-: -2.3
PROV Advantage
15-18-0 (45.5%)
Margin: 1.3 ATS +/-: +0.1
🎯 ATS (Spread)
UNH
12-16-0 (42.9%)
Margin: -5.4 ATS +/-: -2.3
PROV Advantage
19-14-0 (57.6%)
Margin: 1.3 ATS +/-: +0.1
⚖️ Over/Under
UNH
15-13-0
O: 53.6% / U: 46.4% Total +/-: +0.8
PROV
22-11-0
O: 66.7% / U: 33.3% Total +/-: +8.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
PROV
UNH
PROV
UNH
ML
59% 19-13
70% 19-8
67% 20-10
74% 20-7
ATS
50% 16-16
67% 18-9
67% 20-10
74% 20-7
TTL
44% 14-18
59% 16-11
100% 30-0
100% 27-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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